Created Fri 9th May 6:53pm PDT by

All questions » Politics » US Election 2008 »

Will HRC allegedly blackmail BHO for CASH prior to the DNC Convention?

Voided

Hillary needs the cash... but will she stoop this low?

Distantly Related Market:
http://www.hubdub.com/m7179/Will_Barack_Obama_pay_off_Hillary_Clintons_election_debts

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******Please read the Settlement Rules******
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% chance over time

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Voided

Yes

30%

70%

Sat 10th May 3:45am PDT
Reason: I did read the settlement rules but I think its just to hard to settle. There will be unnecessary debates on whats MSM is considered MSM. Also the market will also cause some problems due to how a report of "blackmail" is defined

Settlement details:
For this to settle as "YES" it must be reported by a major mainstream news source that Hillary allegedly blackmails Barack for cash.

Any alleged non-cash blackmail(s) would settle as "NO" unless it directly/indirectly results in financial compensation for Hillary
Ex: Gainful employment, financial contributions from a third person/party, etc.

False allegations and/or rumors and/or opinions will settle as "NO" unless a major mainstream news source considers the allegations/rumors/opinions credible/substantial enough to report.

Suspend date: this Monday 12:59am PDT (4 days to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 30%

Action history:

Created Fri 9th May 6:53pm PDT by

fingers_of_fury

Voided Sat 10th May 3:45am PDT by

ryanj

: I did read the settlement rules but I think its just to hard to settle. There will be unnecessary debates on whats MSM is considered MSM. Also the market will also cause some problems due to how a report of "blackmail" is defined

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Settlement details: ... read all

Predictions

14 weeks ago

valornhonor [Power User]

predicted No (H$35 at 81%)

14 weeks ago

steph predicted Yes (H$20 at 22%)

14 weeks ago

bcguelph predicted No (H$3,000 at 76%)

14 weeks ago

bcguelph predicted No (H$3,000 at 72%)

14 weeks ago

owl1 predicted No (H$50 at 70%)

Comments

randburg

Fascinating question! The word "blackmail" is NOT a personal opinion, but a word we are actually going to look for in a mainstream news article...STRONG STUFF, but completely possible!

posted 14 weeks ago

bcguelph

easy money - this won't happen

posted 14 weeks ago

valornhonor [Power User]

Not to be pedantry.... but in a scenario where Hillary stops running, keeps smiling and Barak blithely responds that "we worked something out..." would be a "No" settlement, correct?

posted 14 weeks ago

fingers_of_fury

@valornhonor - Yeah, afraid so... but if you (or any other Hubduber) are employed in the news industry maybe you could start a blackmail rumor and convince a major mainstream news source to report it.

Maybe McCain could help us get this settled as a "YES"... but I think he's busy this week introducing legislation mandating drug testing for mail sorters and baggage handlers.

posted 14 weeks ago

randburg

The author, fingers_of_fury made it very clear that we were looking for the specific word "blackmail", to be used directly (as ryan frequently requires). What is the problem? Why has this been voided? What could be simpler?

It's just like when the word Iraq/Iraqi would be tested at the Oscars this year...

posted 14 weeks ago

ryanj

Hi,

I think it's just to hard to settle. There will be unnecessary debates on whats MSM is considered MSM. Also the market will cause some problems due to how a report of "blackmail" is defined. Perhaps if we had a market like this but only using one settlement source? I'm just worried that when I settle this based on a news report some users will agree with me and others won't so it'll be hard to settle conclusively.

Regards,

Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor

posted 14 weeks ago