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Created Fri 9th May 9:40pm PDT by fingers_of_fury
All questions » Politics » US Election 2008 » 

Will Obama visit Hawaii, for any reason, before the DNC Convention?

Settled as Yes

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/08/08/aloha-obama/

Background:

Traveling through 57 states is exhausting, he could use a vacation!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EpGH02DtIws


Settlement details: For this to settle as "YES" he must physically visit Hawaii for any reason (business, pleasure, campaigning, flight layover, etc.)

As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 Yes
94%
No
6%
Activity: H$169,527
Settled as Yes on Fri 8th Aug 11:16am PDT

Suspend date: Mon 25th Aug 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Fri 8th Aug 11:16am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 8th Aug 6:30am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 10%

Action history:

Created Fri 9th May 9:40pm PDT by fingers_of_fury
Settlement requested Fri 8th Aug 11:11am PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/08/08/aloha-obama/
Settled as 'Yes' Fri 8th Aug 11:16am PDT by destry[Admin]: http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/08/08/aloha-obama/

Suspend date: Mon 25th Aug 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Fri 8th Aug 11:16am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 8th Aug 6:30am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (128)

128 predictions

15 weeks ago
notablenotices[Power User] predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 94%)
15 weeks ago
gilliganp predicted Yes (H$500 at 94%)
15 weeks ago
gilliganp predicted Yes (H$500 at 94%)
15 weeks ago
destry[Admin] predicted Yes (H$5,285 at 94%)
15 weeks ago
destry[Admin] predicted Yes (H$3,347 at 93%)
more

Comments (12)

  1 randburg
If Obama could see "90% NO", he would go for the YES as well...So, I'm betting on YES! Didn't he say that we needed change?
posted 27 weeks ago
  2 valornhonor[Power User]
This is exasperating...57 states? C'mon Obama... you're providing fodder for the late night comedians. What next? The country is 500 years old? The Monopoly cards are for named for streets in D.C. instead of Atlantic City? Suave and self depricating platitudes is lieu of substance? OK, we'll give you that last one...
posted 27 weeks ago
  3 owl1
If you had the stress of running for president going on I hope you would forgive yourself a numerical faux pas once in a while.
posted 27 weeks ago
  4 owl1
Especially with McCain trading fact for fiction on a daily basis.
posted 27 weeks ago
  5 fingers_of_fury
@owl1 - Yes, faux pas on both sides of the isle.

I can't wait for the SNL Presidential Debates!!!
posted 27 weeks ago
  6 fingers_of_fury
Could someone enlighten me as to the huge jump in activity here? I can't find any news to warrant the odds raising from 10% to 33%. Perhaps his China flight lays over in Hawaii...
posted 21 weeks ago
  7 fingers_of_fury
Obama Expected To Visit Hawaii
http://www.kitv.com/news/16484770/detail.html
posted 21 weeks ago
  8 destry[Admin]
Obama confirms fundraiser in Hawaii
http://www.honoluluadvertiser.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080728/BREAKING01/80728048/-1/LOCALNEWSFRONT
posted 16 weeks ago
  9 coolkraft
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/08/07/AR2008080703444.html

wow...a buff Obama..lol
posted 14 weeks ago
  10 notablenotices[Power User]
That's their description, at least - I notice the picture is of John F Kerry, which doesn't prove their primary point... only the secondary one that Kerry's photo op didn't go so well!
posted 14 weeks ago
  11 coolkraft
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/71ac6fdc-64ac-11dd-af61-0000779fd18c,dwp_uuid=729ab242-9cb1-11db-8ec6-0000779e2340.html
posted 14 weeks ago
  12 coolkraft
http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-na-campaign7-2008aug07,0,5641940.story
posted 14 weeks ago

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