
COMPETE.COM - barackobama.com VS hillaryclinton.com VS johnmccain.com
http://siteanalytics.compete.com/hillaryclinton.com+barackobama.com+johnmccain.com/?metric=uv
Was Clinton, then Obama, then McCain.
Background:>
As of April 2008, according to compete.com, barackobama.com receives more internet traffic than hillaryclinton.com and johnmccain.com is in the last place of these three web sites.
In order of 1st, 2nd and 3rd place rank, how will these three sites compare with each other in May 2008?
Settlement Source:
http://siteanalytics.compete.com/barackobama.com+hillaryclinton.com+johnmccain.com/?metric=uv
Settlement details:
As seen at:
http://siteanalytics.compete.com/barackobama.com+hillaryclinton.com+johnmccain.com/?metric=uv
Settled
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barackobama.com hillaryclinton.com johnmccain.com |
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barackobama.com johnmccain.com hillaryclinton.com |
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Any OTHER order/outcome not listed |
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Suspend date: Sat 31st May 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Thu 5th Jun 2008 4:39pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 31st May 2008 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: barackobama.com hillaryclinton.com johnmccain.com: 70%, barackobama.com johnmccain.com hillaryclinton.com: 25%, Any OTHER order/outcome not listed: 5%
Action history:
Settles as "Other"
http://siteanalytics.compete.com/hillaryclinton.com+barackobama.com+johnmccain.com/?metric=uv
Was Clinton, then Obama, then McCain.
Suspend date: Sat 31st May 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Thu 5th Jun 2008 4:39pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 31st May 2008 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (62)
62 predictions
Comments (6)
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40 settled, 16 voided




Most likely the order of 1st, 2nd and 3rd place will remain the same, but johnmccain.com rising to 2nd place and hillaryclinton.com dropping to 3rd is a possibility if some news event creates a huge surge in traffic to McCain.
I'm not sure what effect a withdrawal announcement from Hillary would cause. Could it lead to a surge in traffic to her site as people visit to read the announcement, or would her stats drop as viewers focus their attention on the two remaining candidates??? Hubdubbers that choose to wager on this prediction will have to keep these possibilities in mind.
The Any Other option is included for the unlikely scenario of barackobama.com falling to 2nd or 3rd of the three or one of the three candidates sites' drops off the face of the world-wide-web due to intentional/unintentional site termination.
If a new-and-improved scandal emerges against any one of the three, I suppose that could effect visits to the site as people check to see if that candidate has posted any response(s) concerning said scandal.
... I wonder if anyone made predictions @ 1.5%
87,000 people went to find out what's up with Hillary?
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