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COMPETE.COM - barackobama.com VS hillaryclinton.com VS johnmccain.com

Settled as Any OTHER order/outcome not listed

http://siteanalytics.compete.com/hillaryclinton.com+barackobama.com+johnmccain.com/?metric=uv

Was Clinton, then Obama, then McCain.

Background:


As of April 2008, according to compete.com, barackobama.com receives more internet traffic than hillaryclinton.com and johnmccain.com is in the last place of these three web sites.

In order of 1st, 2nd and 3rd place rank, how will these three sites compare with each other in May 2008?

Settlement Source:
http://siteanalytics.compete.com/barackobama.com+hillaryclinton.com+johnmccain.com/?metric=uv


Settlement details: As seen at:
http://siteanalytics.compete.com/barackobama.com+hillaryclinton.com+johnmccain.com/?metric=uv

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

barackobama.com hillaryclinton.com johnmccain.com
95%
barackobama.com johnmccain.com hillaryclinton.com
4%
Any OTHER order/outcome not listed
2%
Activity: H$25,183
Settled as Any OTHER order/outcome not listed on Thu 5th Jun 2008 4:39pm PDT

Suspend date: Sat 31st May 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Thu 5th Jun 2008 4:39pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 31st May 2008 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: barackobama.com hillaryclinton.com johnmccain.com: 70%, barackobama.com johnmccain.com hillaryclinton.com: 25%, Any OTHER order/outcome not listed: 5%

Action history:

Created Sat 10th May 2008 11:53am PDT by fingers_of_fury
Suspended Sat 31st May 2008 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Thu 5th Jun 2008 1:39pm PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: And Hillary takes it by a nose (I think it was all of us hubdubbers checking to see what the headline read...)

Settles as "Other"

http://siteanalytics.compete.com/hillaryclinton.com+barackobama.com+johnmccain.com/?metric=uv
Settled as 'Any OTHER order/outcome not listed' Thu 5th Jun 2008 4:39pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]: http://siteanalytics.compete.com/hillaryclinton.com+barackobama.com+johnmccain.com/?metric=uv

Was Clinton, then Obama, then McCain.

Suspend date: Sat 31st May 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Thu 5th Jun 2008 4:39pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 31st May 2008 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (62)

62 predictions

31 weeks ago
renehasp predicted barackobama.com hillaryclinton.com johnmccain.com (H$20 at 95%)
31 weeks ago
roguesoldierb predicted Any OTHER order/outcome not listed (H$20 at 2%)
32 weeks ago
iheartartoo predicted barackobama.com hillaryclinton.com johnmccain.com (H$200 at 95%)
32 weeks ago
jwill333 predicted barackobama.com hillaryclinton.com johnmccain.com (H$100 at 93%)
32 weeks ago
elsterama predicted barackobama.com hillaryclinton.com johnmccain.com (H$100 at 93%)
more

Comments (6)

fingers_of_fury ... plz clarify, I want to make sure I'm straight in my understanding... Per background the ranking for the entire month of April was Obama/Clinton/McCain and now we're predicting the sequence for the entire month of May, correct? Or was the background you mentioned done in April for some largeer YTD type of time frame?
posted 34 weeks ago
Hi valornhonor... yes to your first question. Compete.com updates the stats monthly. At the end of May, plus/minus a few days, the chart will include May 08. The May 08 stats will be used to settle this question.

Most likely the order of 1st, 2nd and 3rd place will remain the same, but johnmccain.com rising to 2nd place and hillaryclinton.com dropping to 3rd is a possibility if some news event creates a huge surge in traffic to McCain.

I'm not sure what effect a withdrawal announcement from Hillary would cause. Could it lead to a surge in traffic to her site as people visit to read the announcement, or would her stats drop as viewers focus their attention on the two remaining candidates??? Hubdubbers that choose to wager on this prediction will have to keep these possibilities in mind.

The Any Other option is included for the unlikely scenario of barackobama.com falling to 2nd or 3rd of the three or one of the three candidates sites' drops off the face of the world-wide-web due to intentional/unintentional site termination.

If a new-and-improved scandal emerges against any one of the three, I suppose that could effect visits to the site as people check to see if that candidate has posted any response(s) concerning said scandal.
posted 34 weeks ago
and no to the YTD time frame. Just May.
posted 34 weeks ago
Thanks, appreciate the clarification, anticpate an unusal question from me within an hour....
posted 34 weeks ago
Wow -- 99% of predictions were wrong!
... I wonder if anyone made predictions @ 1.5%

87,000 people went to find out what's up with Hillary?
posted 30 weeks ago
I made a pretty nice bundle on this one (3000 on a 20$ investment). I don't remember all my reasoning at the time, but I was convinced Hillary would pull it out (at least in site hits she's #1 if no where else!).
posted 30 weeks ago

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