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Will any country use military force to invade Myanmar and distribute aid by 6/1/08?

Settled as No

The disaster in Burma presents the world with perhaps its most serious humanitarian crisis since the 2004 Asian tsunami. By most reliable estimates, close to 100,000 people are dead. Delays in delivering relief to the victims, the inaccessibility of the stricken areas and the poor state of Burma's infrastructure and health systems mean that number is sure to rise. With as many as 1 million people still at risk, is it conceivable that a country will use military force against the wishes of the military junta of Myanmar to forcibly distribute aid to Myanmar's suffering population? (This will include countries working under the auspices of the UN)


http://news.yahoo.com/s/time/20080510/wl_time/isittimetoinvadeburma

Market will settle "yes" if military force is used AGAINST the wishes of the Myanmar government.
 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
1%
No
99%
Activity: H$79,455
Settled as No on Mon 2nd Jun 10:22am PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Mon 2nd Jun 12:59am PDT

Settlement date: Mon 2nd Jun 10:22am PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 2nd Jun 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Sat 10th May 2:45pm PDT by crowe
Suspended Mon 2nd Jun 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Mon 2nd Jun 5:21am PDT by crowe: It is June 2 & no country used military force.
Settled as 'No' Mon 2nd Jun 10:22am PDT by lesley[Admin]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (78)

78 predictions

19 weeks ago
peli predicted No (H$10,000 at 98%)
19 weeks ago
landerson predicted No (H$20 at 97%)
19 weeks ago
pacobell predicted No (H$220 at 97%)
19 weeks ago
thepeoplegeek predicted No (H$297 at 97%)
19 weeks ago
thepeoplegeek predicted No (H$877 at 97%)
more

Comments (2)

Well, what if the UN goes in without permission.....This is a distinct possibility.....
posted 22 weeks ago
  2 crowe
If the U.N. passed a security council resolution for the authorization of forced aid and several countries sent "relief" troops without the permission of the Myanmar junta, then the market would settle "yes".
posted 22 weeks ago

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