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Which movie will earn more "The Incredible Hulk vs. The Happening" opening weekend?

Settled as The Incredible Hulk by $10.1 million or More

This question asks, which one of THESE two movies, will earn more during their opening weekend (June 13th, 14th and 15th)? ..... The possible outcomes are set up as this, if "The Incredible Hulk" opens with $10,099,999 MORE than "The Happening," then the "The Incredible Hulk by $10.0 million or Less" WILL WIN, however, if the "The Incredible Hulk" earns $10,100,000 MORE than "The Happening," then the "The Incredible Hulk by $10.1 million or More" WILL WIN. The same rules apply for "The Happening." As of the posting of this question, HSX.com is predicting these two films will be less than $6 million apart during their opening weekend, but this has been a crazy year so far with lots of surprises, so anything could happen. ..... This question suspends on Friday the 13th of June at 6pm PST and will be Settled by Monday evening the 16th of June..... If anyone does NOT understand these rules, please ASK me to clarify and ask an Admin to contact me for clarification.
 
% chance over time
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Settled

The Happening by $10.0 million or Less
1%
The Happening by $10.1 million or More
0%
The Incredible Hulk by $10.0 million or Less
3%
The Incredible Hulk by $10.1 million or More
95%
Activity: H$48,411
Settled as The Incredible Hulk by $10.1 million or More on Mon 16th Jun 9am PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by www.the-numbers.com or another major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Fri 13th Jun 7pm PDT

Settlement date: Mon 16th Jun 9am PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 13th Jun 6pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: The Happening by $10.0 million or Less: 30%, The Happening by $10.1 million or More: 10%, The Incredible Hulk by $10.0 million or Less: 40%, The Incredible Hulk by $10.1 million or More: 20%

Action history:

Created Sat 10th May 6:08pm PDT by lucidstates
Suspended Fri 13th Jun 7pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Mon 16th Jun 6:04am PDT by No user imagechull: Hulk- $54.5 million,
Happening- $30.5 million
http://www.the-numbers.com/charts/weekly/2008/20080613.php
Settled as 'The Incredible Hulk by $10.1 million or More' Mon 16th Jun 9am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: http://www.the-numbers.com/charts/weekly/2008/20080613.php
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by www.the-numbers.com or another major mainstream news source.... read all

 
5 weeks ago
lucidstates predicted The Incredible Hulk by $10.1 million or More (H$5,000)
5 weeks ago
No user imaged2knits predicted The Incredible Hulk by $10.1 million or More (H$50)
5 weeks ago
No user imagecawlin predicted The Incredible Hulk by $10.0 million or Less (H$20)
5 weeks ago
No user imageimkc_long predicted The Incredible Hulk by $10.1 million or More (H$100)
5 weeks ago
No user imagejaspersoddity predicted The Incredible Hulk by $10.0 million or Less (H$100)
5 weeks ago
No user imagejaspersoddity predicted The Incredible Hulk by $10.0 million or Less (H$50)
5 weeks ago
gingerboi predicted The Incredible Hulk by $10.0 million or Less (H$50)
5 weeks ago
lucidstates predicted The Incredible Hulk by $10.1 million or More (H$3,150)
5 weeks ago
No user imagecici predicted The Incredible Hulk by $10.1 million or More (H$200)
5 weeks ago
stephmoreland predicted The Incredible Hulk by $10.1 million or More (H$20)
excellent question format!

I just saw the trailors for both of these when I saw Ironman last week, and I was totally into the happening until its name popped up... the name is extremely lame!
posted 9 weeks ago
I think The Happening is a return to Hitchcock style thriller for Shyamalan, I can't wait for it man! ... Name is alright, and I think if the movie is anything like Signs or say Hitchcocks' Vertigo, then the name will be a hit, but ONLY if the movie doesn't turn out to be a The Village or LITW! Both those SUCKED!
posted 9 weeks ago
Wow the market is realllllllly changing on this one! Wow.... I am surprised at that man, as these films I think could be quite close, but alas, markets adjust based upon wider opinions than mine, lol :-D
posted 9 weeks ago
well the trailer for the new Hulk was very impressive. I actually saw the trailers for each movie right after the other but I liked the Hulk one a lot more. n action movie + comic book hero is going to beat another shyamalan film, especially because his fans were disappointed with his last couple of films. To me the name was just too cheesy, the trailer sets up this great feeling of foreboding and suspense and then, oh by the way it's called "the happening". Couldn't have come up with a weaker name IMO.
posted 8 weeks ago
WOW!!! HSX.com is now calling for The Incredible Hulk to open with $50.8 million and The Happening to open with a paltry $23.8 million!!! WHAT GIVES???
posted 5 weeks ago
Just hours now until The Incredible Hulk and The Happening are set to open nationwide and HSX.com is now indicating Hulk to make $52.15 million opening weekend and Happening to make $22.64 million opening weekend.

This is not looking good for The Happening huh?
posted 5 weeks ago
I think they're wrong! I think Hulk will open closer to like $50 mil and The Happening closer to like $35 - $40 mil. But I've been WAYYYYYY wrong recently, so maybe Happening will BOMB and Hulk will make a bundle, I dunno!
posted 5 weeks ago
Okayyyyyy... Looks like The Incredible Hulk IS going to easily top $50 million this weekend as it made a whopping $20 million on Friday alone and beat The Happening by a healthy $7 million.

Here's the FRIDAY ONLY Box Office Numbers:
#1 ... $20.0 million ... The Incredible Hulk
#2 ... $13.0 million ... The Happening

And it looks pretty certain that Iron Man will make the $300 million mark within a few weeks as it stands at a mighty $293.674 million as of Fridays B.O. where it is still in the #8 slot bringing in $1.46 million, however, Indiana Jones 4 doesn't look like it can keep Iron Man's rock solid pace and will likely end up short of $300 million.
Therefore, our final hope for the Summer B.O. Season to have anyone beat Iron Man, looks to be Batman or Wall-E ... Can either of these pull of a victory late in summer or will Iron Man's fantastic start to all this hoopla hold it's ground an take the prize?
posted 5 weeks ago

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