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Which movie will earn more "Get Smart vs. The Love Guru" opening weekend?

Settled as Get Smart by $15.1 million or More

This question asks, which one of THESE two movies, will earn more during their opening weekend (June 20th, 21st and 22nd)? ..... The possible outcomes are set up as this, if "Get Smart" opens with $15,099,999 MORE than "The Love Guru," then the "Get Smart by $15.0 million or Less" WILL WIN, however, if "Get Smart" earns $15,100,000 MORE than "The Love Guru," then the "Get Smart by $15.1 million or More" WILL WIN. The same rules apply for "The Love Guru." As of the posting of this question, HSX.com is predicting these two films will be about $15 million apart during their opening weekend, but this has been a crazy year so far with lots of surprises, so anything could happen. ..... This question suspends on Friday the 20th of June at 6pm PST and will be Settled by Monday evening the 23rd of June..... If anyone does NOT understand these rules, please ASK me to clarify and ask an Admin to contact me for clarification.
 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Get Smart by $15.0 million or Less
46%
Get Smart by $15.1 million or More
46%
The Love Guru by $15.0 million or Less
6%
The Love Guru by $15.1 million or More
2%
Activity: H$101,692
Settled as Get Smart by $15.1 million or More on Sun 22nd Jun 4:41pm PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by www.the-numbers.com or another major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Fri 20th Jun 7pm PDT

Settlement date: Sun 22nd Jun 4:41pm PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 20th Jun 7pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Get Smart by $15.0 million or Less: 35%, Get Smart by $15.1 million or More: 35%, The Love Guru by $15.0 million or Less: 20%, The Love Guru by $15.1 million or More: 10%

Action history:

Created Sat 10th May 6:36pm PDT by lucidstates
Suspended Fri 20th Jun 7pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sun 22nd Jun 1:18pm PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: Winning prediction: GetSmart by 15 million or more

Source: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/

GS is currently smashing LG by about 25 million... WELL outside of the range of error for weekend estimates.
Settled as 'Get Smart by $15.1 million or More' Sun 22nd Jun 4:41pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by www.the-numbers.com or another major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (334)

334 predictions

10 weeks ago
rigidrunner predicted Get Smart by $15.1 million or More (H$100 at 46%)
10 weeks ago
robmar predicted The Love Guru by $15.0 million or Less (H$100 at 6%)
10 weeks ago
robmar predicted Get Smart by $15.0 million or Less (H$500 at 53%)
10 weeks ago
erichiggs predicted Get Smart by $15.0 million or Less (H$20 at 50%)
10 weeks ago
cheesenips predicted Get Smart by $15.1 million or More (H$100 at 39%)
more

Comments (26)

Goooo Love Guru!!!
posted 12 weeks ago
Are you kidding? That movie looks so stupid to me personally. I hope Steve Carell and Anne Hathaway in "Get Smart" outperform "The Love Guru". I am not really a big fan of Mike Myers comedy, so the only way I see the Love Guru coming out ahead is the fact Jessica Alba is in it. =)
posted 11 weeks ago
  3 destry[Admin]
Am I missing something here. Get Smart is projected to beat Love Guru on every website I can find. How on earth is the option Love Guru by 15.0 million or more the highest. Talk about an weird market. I have seen trailers for both these movies and this doesn't even look close, the love guru looks stupid, and get smart looks funny and smart. Well I am going to keep buying get smart til the options level out.
posted 11 weeks ago
  4 scott
Get Smart will probably stink. The TV show wasn't even that good and the previews I've seen just are not funny.

On the other hand Meyers is hillarious and people will flock to see it.
posted 11 weeks ago
Yeah Meyers does have a following that will pay to see him in any movie no matter how silly it looks. The only reason I would pay to see it is to see Jessica Alba on the big screen. Your probably right scott, the flock will once again come out for Meyers and boost him to tops at box office.
That is what makes this question so great, you get personnal opinions mixing with facts and estimations- leaving you with a tough choice.
posted 11 weeks ago
Wow - look at those odds. Clearly hubdub has no idea!
posted 11 weeks ago
How about an option for within $100 of each other!
posted 11 weeks ago
Still rooting for Get Smart, not too confident though.
posted 11 weeks ago
Your right Jenster-
To have this much $HD in the market and still have odds so evenly split is pretty fascinating.
posted 11 weeks ago
Okay, so I MUST repent of my prior conviction concerning Love Guru ... I just watched like a 7 minute piece exclusively on iTunes for Get Smart and I laughed my ass off!!! This movie is gonna be freakin' hilarious!!! From the first commercial GS had, I thought it looked stupid, but man, this like 7min clip was freakin' awesome and Carrell is just hilarious, and Anne looks reallllllly good, so I am switching my earlier opinion and going for Get Smart by "$15 million or Less..." So yeah, I think many Meyerites will come out for his film so it might be #1 on Friday, but I think word of mouth and such will take Get Smart to the #1 spot on Saturday and Sunday, thus pushing it ahead, but not by tons, so yeah, GOOOOOOO GET SMART!!! :-D
I know, I know, my loyalty is amazing! LOL :-P
posted 11 weeks ago
  11 scott
I have a ton of money on the Love Guru. Get Smart wasn't that good on TV and I don't think people will flock to see it.

Meanwhile this generation loves everything Mike Meyers puts out including me. I'm just not interested in seeing some guy talk into a shoe.
posted 11 weeks ago
  12 frank2877
I saw the "Get smart" preview when I went to "Crystal Skull". It was laugh out loud funny. I remember the TV show and Steve Carrell has nailed the Maxwell Smart character. I'm not sure about the $15 million over/under, but "Get Smart" will be the top movie!
posted 10 weeks ago
Get Smart wasn't that good on tv? The TV show was very funny in its first couple of seasons...Buck Henry was a writer!
posted 10 weeks ago
I don't see how there's any real correlation between the success of the TV show and the success of this film Get Smart ... Wasn't that TV show like 30 years ago? So I don't think young people care whether the TV show was any good or not..... Truthfully, I didn't even know the TV show's name and ALL I knew was that some dude 10 years before I was born talked into his shoe, besides that, I didn't know anything about it, then my dad is like, Hey that tv show sucked, but this movie looks HILARIOUS! SO yeah, Get Smart is gonna be BIG and it seems that Mike Meyers totally missed the boat on this one! So far, I've not found a single Mike Meyers fan within my real life circle of influence that believes this film has any merit whatsoever! Even more enthusiastic Mike M. fans are dissin' this effort!
posted 10 weeks ago
  15 scott
Rotten Tomatoes has get smart getting poor reviews... get out while you can.
posted 10 weeks ago
I disagree with Rotten Tom, this movie is gonna open BIG and Mike M. is gonna fizzle with his Guru film.
posted 10 weeks ago
  17 destry[Admin]
I don't have all these wonderful projection sites to look at. But I do know that at my local theater which has 20 screens, get smart is playing on 3 of them and love guru 1.
posted 10 weeks ago
  18 cheesenips
Roger Ebert just gave Get Smart a rave review. Probably will doom it ;)
posted 10 weeks ago
  19 cheesenips
BTW my cat Max is named after Maxwell Smart and Max is actually fronting half of my bet. (My other cat Sid is named after Sid Vicious-- he bites.)
posted 10 weeks ago
  20 scott
I just saw Love Guru and it was pretty good. And the theater was full
posted 10 weeks ago
  21 destry[Admin]
@scott - how many theaters were showing Love Guru and how many were showing Get Smart?
posted 10 weeks ago
  22 scott
Actually they put Love Guru in the largest theater but I dont know how many were getting Get Smart. There were ALOT of teens in our theater and people were laughing.
posted 10 weeks ago
#1 Get Smart destroys #4 Love Guru in it's first day at the North American Box Office.

FRIDAY only Box Office Numbers:
#1 ... $13.814 million ... Get Smart
#2 ..... $7.269 million ... The Incredible Hulk
#3 ..... $6.137 million ... Kung Fu Panda
#4 ..... $5.383 million ... Love Guru
#5 ..... $3.607 million ... The Happening

So there you have it folks... Friday's box office alone has placed Get Smart over half way to the "$15.1 million or More" prediction ... This means that Get Smart is out earning Love Guru by over $354,000 / hour ... Interesting way to look at it, this means that every time both of these films play nationwide, Get Smart moves some $708,000 further ahead.

Question now is, how much will Get Smart out earn Love Guru by Sunday? $10 million? $15 million? $20 million?
posted 9 weeks ago
@luci -

answer: about 25 million!!
posted 9 weeks ago
@ the Jenster aka jenni, hehe, I just loooooooooove calling you Jenster, it has such a nice ring to it :-D hehehe ... Wow, $25 mill, who woulda thunk it? ... I'm just glad some people made some nice Hbucks :-D

And I'm super excited!!! This is only my 2nd Q EVERRRR to top $100,000 in total betting :-D Wooooooot :-D
posted 9 weeks ago
  26 destry[Admin]
I can see more of your movie questions making huge money. When you have these questions with 4 options it is a great way to make money. I had about 15k in this market, made about 4k on it. I hedged alot of the wagers.
posted 9 weeks ago

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