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Created Sat 10th May 2008 7:51pm PST by quecojones

What will Steve Jobs do at the  WWDC08?

Settled as 3G iPhone *AT* WWDC

Background: Predict which (if any) of the following rumors about what Steve has planned for the  WWDC08 will happen.

Settlement details:As announced by Steve Jobs at the  WWDC08 keynote.

 
Forecast history %
3G iPhone *BEFORE* WWDC
7%
3G iPhone *AT* WWDC
9%
3G iPhone *BEFORE* WWDC + One More Thing *AT* WWDC
18%
3G iPhone *AT* WWDC + One More Thing *AT* WWDC
60%
Something totally different
6%
Settled as 3G iPhone *AT* WWDC on Tue 10th Jun 2008 6:15am PST

Suspend date: Mon 9th Jun 2008 9:59am PST
Settlement date: Tue 10th Jun 2008 6:15am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 9th Jun 2008 9:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 3G iPhone *BEFORE* WWDC: 15%, 3G iPhone *AT* WWDC: 10%, 3G iPhone *BEFORE* WWDC + One More Thing *AT* WWDC: 40%, 3G iPhone *AT* WWDC + One More Thing *AT* WWDC: 30%, Something totally different: 5%

Action history:

Created Sat 10th May 2008 7:51pm PST by quecojones
Suspended Mon 9th Jun 2008 9:59am PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Mon 9th Jun 2008 9:59am PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Mon 9th Jun 2008 11:55am PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: The focus was on SDK and the 3G IPhone although there was a passing mention of Snow Leopard as well. I believe this settles as '3G AT and something else'

http://www.engadget.com/2008/06/09/steve-jobs-keynote-live-from-wwdc-2008/
Settled as '3G iPhone *AT* WWDC + One More Thing *AT* WWDC' Mon 9th Jun 2008 4:18pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]
Previous action withdrawn Tue 10th Jun 2008 6:15am PST by nigeleccles[Admin]: Incorrect settlement
Settled as '3G iPhone *AT* WWDC' Tue 10th Jun 2008 6:15am PST by nigeleccles[Admin]

Suspend date: Mon 9th Jun 2008 9:59am PST
Settlement date: Tue 10th Jun 2008 6:15am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 9th Jun 2008 9:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (62)

1 year ago
iheartartoo predicted 3G iPhone *AT* WWDC + One More Thing *AT* WWDC (H$200 at 59%)
1 year ago
petetrerice predicted 3G iPhone *BEFORE* WWDC + One More Thing *AT* WWDC (H$20 at 18%)
1 year ago
moveaway00 predicted 3G iPhone *AT* WWDC + One More Thing *AT* WWDC (H$5 at 59%)
1 year ago
moveaway00 predicted 3G iPhone *AT* WWDC (H$20 at 9%)
1 year ago
rvman predicted Something totally different (H$50 at 6%)

Comments (5)

  1 mraleigh
When it comes to Steve Jobs, One More Thing (capitalized) refers to a specific event - the "One More Thing" event. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stevenote As such, no "One More Thing" has happened (not yet anyway) therefore this should not be settled yet. One more thing does not refer to a quantity.. it's his schtick.
posted 1 year ago
  2 jenniandboys[Admin]
@mraleigh - I confess I am not an Apple junkie, but followed the WWDC yesterday mainly to clear out all the iphone questions. I looked at your link and now understand that One More Thing is a specific event and not just another product -- but certainly had NO inkling of that prior to your comment. Because there's no background for the un-initiated in this question I think it was reasonable to settle One More Thing as one more thing.. I will suggest that if by the end of WWDC Steve hasn't said the (now I realize, famous) words OMT, then we resettle the market. Does that seem fair?
posted 1 year ago
  3 gadgit
In my opinion, Steve did not announce "one more thing". If he does not use this phrase during the rest of the WWDC, this question should be resettled as only 3G iPhone AT WWDC. The "Snow Leopard" was not announced as "one more thing".
posted 1 year ago
  4 jarrod
It definitely should be resettled. As mraleigh points out, "One More Thing" is a specific event and those of us who attend WWDC and Macworld wait for it.
posted 1 year ago
  5 newswrangler[Power User]
This market has been resettled.
posted 1 year ago

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