Created Sat 10th May 2008 10:18pm PDT by 
fingers_of_fury
All questions » Technology » Hubdub » fingers_of_fury DJIA Texas Holdem Poker: BIG SLICK vs JACK-10 SUITED
Settled as JACK-10 SUITED Wins
Jack-10 wins it with a Queen-Jack high flush of Hearts
QH JH 10H 7H 3H
Background:
Hole Cards:
BIG SLICK - Ace of Clubs & King of Diamonds
JACK-10 SUITED - Jack of Hearts & Ten of Hearts
REMAINING CARDS (Hole Cards Removed):
1-12: -2345678910JQK of Clubs
13-24: A2345678910JQ- of Diamonds
25-37: A2345678910JQK of Spades
38-48: A23456789--QK of Hearts
The last four digits of the DJIA will be used to select the cards. These four digits will be used as a percent (00.00%-99.99%) and multiplied by the number of cards remaining in the deck. For example, if the dow closes at 12946.29, 46.29% would be multiplied by 48 (the remaining # of cards). 48*46.29%=22.22 which is card #22: 10 of Diamonds. In this example scenario the 10 of Diamonds would then be removed from the deck prior to calculating the next card. Our next random number would be multiplied by the remaining cards, 47 to select the next card.
Cards to be calculated/removed from deck:
Monday May 12 - FLOP Card #1: 48*(last 4 of DJIA Close)%
Tuesday May 13 - FLOP Card #2: 47*(last 4 of DJIA Close)%
Wednesday May 14 - FLOP Card #3: 46*(last 4 of DJIA Close)%
Thursday May 15 - TURN Card: 45*(last 4 of DJIA Close)%
Friday May 16 - RIVER Card: 44*(last 4 of DJIA Close)%
Initial odds using Poker Calculator at Cardplayer.com: http://www.cardplayer.com/poker_odds/texas_holdem
BIG SLICK Wins: 58.61%
JACK-10 SUITED Wins: 40.97%
These 2 hands tie: 0.42%
Yahoo finance will be used to determine the DJIA values:
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?s=^DJI (Copy/Paste into your browsers' address bar)
All Texas Holdem Poker rules apply
Each evening I will post the results of the cards selected in the comments section (unless someone beats me to it, in which case I/we will verify their calculations).
BIG SLICK - Ace of Clubs & King of Diamonds
JACK-10 SUITED - Jack of Hearts & Ten of Hearts
REMAINING CARDS (Hole Cards Removed):
1-12: -2345678910JQK of Clubs
13-24: A2345678910JQ- of Diamonds
25-37: A2345678910JQK of Spades
38-48: A23456789--QK of Hearts
The last four digits of the DJIA will be used to select the cards. These four digits will be used as a percent (00.00%-99.99%) and multiplied by the number of cards remaining in the deck. For example, if the dow closes at 12946.29, 46.29% would be multiplied by 48 (the remaining # of cards). 48*46.29%=22.22 which is card #22: 10 of Diamonds. In this example scenario the 10 of Diamonds would then be removed from the deck prior to calculating the next card. Our next random number would be multiplied by the remaining cards, 47 to select the next card.
Cards to be calculated/removed from deck:
Monday May 12 - FLOP Card #1: 48*(last 4 of DJIA Close)%
Tuesday May 13 - FLOP Card #2: 47*(last 4 of DJIA Close)%
Wednesday May 14 - FLOP Card #3: 46*(last 4 of DJIA Close)%
Thursday May 15 - TURN Card: 45*(last 4 of DJIA Close)%
Friday May 16 - RIVER Card: 44*(last 4 of DJIA Close)%
Initial odds using Poker Calculator at Cardplayer.com: http://www.cardplayer.com/poker_odds/texas_holdem
BIG SLICK Wins: 58.61%
JACK-10 SUITED Wins: 40.97%
These 2 hands tie: 0.42%
Yahoo finance will be used to determine the DJIA values:
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?s=^DJI (Copy/Paste into your browsers' address bar)
All Texas Holdem Poker rules apply
Each evening I will post the results of the cards selected in the comments section (unless someone beats me to it, in which case I/we will verify their calculations).
Settlement details:
DJIA Daily Close source. http://finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?s=^DJI
Monday May 12 - FLOP Card #1: 48*(last 4 of DJIA Close)%
Tuesday May 13 - FLOP Card #2: 47*(last 4 of DJIA Close)%
Wednesday May 14 - FLOP Card #3: 46*(last 4 of DJIA Close)%
Thursday May 15 - TURN Card: 45*(last 4 of DJIA Close)%
Friday May 16 - RIVER Card: 44*(last 4 of DJIA Close)%
Settled
|
|
BIG SLICK Wins |
|
||
|
|
JACK-10 SUITED Wins |
|
||
|
|
These 2 hands tie |
|
Activity: H$7,418
Settled as JACK-10 SUITED Wins on Sat 17th May 2008 2:52am PDT
Suspend date: Wed 14th May 2008 11:59pm PDT Settlement date: Sat 17th May 2008 2:52am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 14th May 2008 11:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: BIG SLICK Wins: 58%, JACK-10 SUITED Wins: 41%, These 2 hands tie: 1%
Action history:
Created Sat 10th May 2008 10:18pm PDT by fingers_of_fury
fingers_of_fury
Suspended Wed 14th May 2008 11:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 16th May 2008 7:26pm PDT by fingers_of_fury: Please Settle as: JACK-10 SUITED Wins
Note to Admin:
If you don't enjoy math &/or poker, Hubdub's math guru, Andrew, settled the last game, so he understands this format.
Cards calculated then removed from deck:
Monday May 12:
FLOP Card #1: 48(cards)*(last 4 of DJIA Close)%
Tuesday May 13:
FLOP Card #2: 47(cards)*(last 4 of DJIA Close)%
Wednesday May 14:
FLOP Card #3: 46(cards)*(last 4 of DJIA Close)%
Thursday May 15:
TURN Card #4: 45(cards)*(last 4 of DJIA Close)%
Friday May 16:
RIVER Card#5: 44(cards)*(last 4 of DJIA Close)%
DJIA Closes May 12-16:
Mon: 12,876.05 - Last 4 as % = 76.05% * 48 = 37
Tue: 12,832.18 - Last 4 as % = 32.18% * 47 = 15
Wed: 12,898.38 - Last 4 as % = 98.38% * 46 = 45
Thu: 12,992.66 - Last 4 as % = 92.66% * 45 = 42
Fri: 12,986.80 - Last 4 as % = 86.80% * 44 = 38
So the drawn cards are: 37, 15, 45, 42, 38
As drawn they are removed from deck.
Monday's deck:
REMAINING CARDS (Hole Cards Removed):
1-12: -2345678910JQK of Clubs
13-24: A2345678910JQ- of Diamonds
25-37: A2345678910JQK of Spades
38-48: A23456789--QK of Hearts
Card 37 = KS
Tuesday's deck:
REMAINING CARDS (Hole & Mon cards Removed):
1-12: -2345678910JQK of Clubs
13-24: A2345678910JQ- of Diamonds
25-36: A2345678910JQ- of Spades
37-47: A23456789--QK of Hearts
Card 15 = 3D
Wednesday's deck:
Remaining Cards (Hole & Mon-Tue cards removed):
1-12: -2345678910JQK of Clubs
13-23: A2-45678910JQ- of Diamonds
24-35: A2345678910JQ- of Spades
36-46: A23456789--QK of Hearts
Card 45 = QH
Thursday's deck:
Remaining Cards (Hole & Mon-Tue-Wed cards removed):
1-12: - 2345678910JQK of Clubs
13-23: A2 - 45678910JQ - of Diamonds
24-35: A2345678910JQ - of Spades
36-45: A23456789 - - -K of Hearts
Card 42 = 7H
Friday's deck:
Remaining Cards (Hole & Mon-Tue-Wed-Thu cards removed):
1-12: - 2345678910JQK of Clubs
13-23: A2 - 45678910JQ - of Diamonds
24-35: A2345678910JQ - of Spades
36-44: A23456 - 89 - - - K of Hearts
Card 38 = 3H
Hole Cards:
BIG SLICK - Ace of Clubs & King of Diamonds
JACK-10 SUITED - Jack of Hearts & Ten of Hearts
The 5 Drawn Cards:
KS, 3D, QH, 7H, 3H
BIG SLICK'S best hand:
Pair of Kings
JACK-10 SUITED's best hand:
Flush of Hearts
JACK-10 Wins!!!
fingers_of_fury: Please Settle as: JACK-10 SUITED Wins
Note to Admin:
If you don't enjoy math &/or poker, Hubdub's math guru, Andrew, settled the last game, so he understands this format.
Cards calculated then removed from deck:
Monday May 12:
FLOP Card #1: 48(cards)*(last 4 of DJIA Close)%
Tuesday May 13:
FLOP Card #2: 47(cards)*(last 4 of DJIA Close)%
Wednesday May 14:
FLOP Card #3: 46(cards)*(last 4 of DJIA Close)%
Thursday May 15:
TURN Card #4: 45(cards)*(last 4 of DJIA Close)%
Friday May 16:
RIVER Card#5: 44(cards)*(last 4 of DJIA Close)%
DJIA Closes May 12-16:
Mon: 12,876.05 - Last 4 as % = 76.05% * 48 = 37
Tue: 12,832.18 - Last 4 as % = 32.18% * 47 = 15
Wed: 12,898.38 - Last 4 as % = 98.38% * 46 = 45
Thu: 12,992.66 - Last 4 as % = 92.66% * 45 = 42
Fri: 12,986.80 - Last 4 as % = 86.80% * 44 = 38
So the drawn cards are: 37, 15, 45, 42, 38
As drawn they are removed from deck.
Monday's deck:
REMAINING CARDS (Hole Cards Removed):
1-12: -2345678910JQK of Clubs
13-24: A2345678910JQ- of Diamonds
25-37: A2345678910JQK of Spades
38-48: A23456789--QK of Hearts
Card 37 = KS
Tuesday's deck:
REMAINING CARDS (Hole & Mon cards Removed):
1-12: -2345678910JQK of Clubs
13-24: A2345678910JQ- of Diamonds
25-36: A2345678910JQ- of Spades
37-47: A23456789--QK of Hearts
Card 15 = 3D
Wednesday's deck:
Remaining Cards (Hole & Mon-Tue cards removed):
1-12: -2345678910JQK of Clubs
13-23: A2-45678910JQ- of Diamonds
24-35: A2345678910JQ- of Spades
36-46: A23456789--QK of Hearts
Card 45 = QH
Thursday's deck:
Remaining Cards (Hole & Mon-Tue-Wed cards removed):
1-12: - 2345678910JQK of Clubs
13-23: A2 - 45678910JQ - of Diamonds
24-35: A2345678910JQ - of Spades
36-45: A23456789 - - -K of Hearts
Card 42 = 7H
Friday's deck:
Remaining Cards (Hole & Mon-Tue-Wed-Thu cards removed):
1-12: - 2345678910JQK of Clubs
13-23: A2 - 45678910JQ - of Diamonds
24-35: A2345678910JQ - of Spades
36-44: A23456 - 89 - - - K of Hearts
Card 38 = 3H
Hole Cards:
BIG SLICK - Ace of Clubs & King of Diamonds
JACK-10 SUITED - Jack of Hearts & Ten of Hearts
The 5 Drawn Cards:
KS, 3D, QH, 7H, 3H
BIG SLICK'S best hand:
Pair of Kings
JACK-10 SUITED's best hand:
Flush of Hearts
JACK-10 Wins!!!
Settled as 'JACK-10 SUITED Wins' Sat 17th May 2008 2:52am PDT by 
andrew
: Jack-10 wins it with a Queen-Jack high flush of Hearts
QH JH 10H 7H 3H
andrew: Jack-10 wins it with a Queen-Jack high flush of Hearts
QH JH 10H 7H 3H
Suspend date: Wed 14th May 2008 11:59pm PDT Settlement date: Sat 17th May 2008 2:52am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 14th May 2008 11:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (25)
25 predictions
vankev63
predicted JACK-10 SUITED Wins (H$20 at 26%)
valornhonor![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted JACK-10 SUITED Wins (H$25 at 25%)
lucidstates
predicted BIG SLICK Wins (H$100 at 75%)
jenniandboys![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
predicted BIG SLICK Wins (H$50 at 71%)
kasulked
corky
hubdubbob
predicted JACK-10 SUITED Wins (H$300 at 42%)Comments (26)
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More questions by
fingers_of_fury
71% of previous questions settled successfully
40 settled, 16 voided
40 settled, 16 voided
12-May-08 12,876.05
76.05% * 48 cards = card #36.5 rounded to 37
KING of SPADES!!!
Big Slick is now a HUGE favorite... which explains the jump to 71%... it's nice to see that some of you calculated this yourselves instead of waiting on me.
The Poker Calculator on cardplayer.com requires a complete FLOP (3 cards) before it will calculate the new odds, so I'll post new odds after Wednesday's card is drawn.
1-12: -2345678910JQK of Clubs
13-24: A2345678910JQ- of Diamonds
25-36: A2345678910JQ- of Spades
37-47: A23456789--QK of Hearts
Tomorrow's last four digit of the DJIA close as a percent will be multiplied by 47 cards to select the next card.
32.18%*47cards = 15.12
Card #15 is 3 of Diamonds
Not much help to either hand... BIG SLICK still favored to win
Remaining Cards (Hole and Drawn cards removed):
1-12: -2345678910JQK of Clubs
13-23: A2-45678910JQ- of Diamonds
24-35: A2345678910JQ- of Spades
36-46: A23456789--QK of Hearts
Tomorrow's last four digits close as a % multiplied by 46 remaining cards.
Flop so far:
KS,3D
@valornhonor - It is FUN to chase =)
The last one we did used the DJIA to select the hole cards:
http://www.hubdub.com/m6764/DJIA_Texas_Holdem_Poker_Match_hilo_vs_openclose_week_of_May_5th_2008
Also, I must give credit/thanks to Hubdubbob for starting the DJIA Poker Games. Check out his questions for more Poker related markets:
http://www.hubdub.com/e/User/_693
I'm thinking about making next week's DJIA Texas Holdem question: "Pocket Rockets VS 9 Hands: Will the Aces Hold Up?" The odds of Pocket Aces winning drops significantly against that many hands, depending of course on the hands it plays against.
I'm a poker junkie too... and a news junkie as well... Hubdub is a GREAT place for poker & news junkies =)
(Last 4 digits)% * 46 remaining cards:
98.38%*46=45.25
Card #45 is Queen of Hearts
FLOP as of Wed Day 3:
KS,3D,QH
New Odds using Poker Calculator at cardplayer.com:
BIG SLICK: 68.48%
JACK-10 SUITED: 31.52%
1-12: - 2345678910JQK of Clubs
13-23: A2 - 45678910JQ - of Diamonds
24-35: A2345678910JQ - of Spades
36-45: A23456789 - - - K of Hearts
Tomorrow's last four digits close as a % multiplied by 45 remaining cards.
There are four 9s and three Aces out of 45 cards, so 7 out of 45 cards are available to complete the straight.
Hole cards: AC-KD vs JH-10H
Flop cards: KS,3D,QH
New Odds using Poker Calculator at cardplayer.com:
BIG SLICK: 68.48%
JACK-10 SUITED: 31.52%
TIE: 0%
92.66%*45=41.697
Card #42 is 7 of Hearts
Flop & Turn: KS,3D,QH,7H
New Odds using Poker Calculator at cardplayer.com:
BIG SLICK: 68.18%
JACK-10 SUITED: 31.82%
TIE: 0%
Remaining Cards (Hole and Drawn cards removed):
1-12: - 2345678910JQK of Clubs
13-23: A2 - 45678910JQ - of Diamonds
24-35: A2345678910JQ - of Spades
36-44: A23456 - 89 - - - K of Hearts
Tomorrow's last four digits close as a % multiplied by 44 remaining cards.
There are 9 Hearts left out of 44 cards that would complete the Flush, and 2 Aces & 3 Nines (not counting the Ace and Nine of Hearts because they count toward the better Flush draw)
So 5 cards for the Straight plus the 9 Hearts is 14 out of 44 cards. 14/44= 0.318181818 or 31.82% chance for Jack-10 Suited to win.
I provided the calculations in this comment for users that might be new to Texas Holdem and/or users interested in learning the ins-n-outs of calculating odds. I could also provide examples of how Pot Odds would effect this hand if anyone's interested. Pot Odds are fascinating and quite possibly MORE important than the odds of winning the hand.
but it was FUN! =)
16-May-08 12,986.80
86.80%*44= 38.19 Card #38 is the 3 of Hearts
JACK-10 of Hearts takes down BIG SLICK!!!
It will take me a few minutes to prepare, and then I'll request settlement.
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