Created Sun 11th May 2008 5:02am PST by

junkie_1 Level 13, Psychic (H$77,678)

Will Hubdub hit 6400 users by 15th May 2008?

Settled as Yes

Front page article on Reddit yesterday certainly helped

Background:

Background: With 6200 almost achieved this is the next target.
Over a 100 users joined Hubdub this weekend so be careful.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Yes

67%

33%

Settled as Yes on Thu 15th May 2008 2:55am PST

Activity: H$31,573
Predictions: 36
Comments: 12

Suspend date: Wed 14th May 2008 3:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 15th May 2008 2:55am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 14th May 2008 3:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 45%

Action history:

Created Sun 11th May 2008 5:02am PST by

junkie_1 Level 13, Psychic (H$77,678)

Settlement requested Wed 14th May 2008 3:49pm PST by

fingers_of_fury Level 18, Megadubber (H$2,428,613)

: YES: Hubdub hit 6400 users

http://www.hubdub.com/e/User/_6400

Suspended Wed 14th May 2008 3:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settled as 'Yes' Thu 15th May 2008 2:55am PST by

nigeleccles [Admin]

: Front page article on Reddit yesterday certainly helped

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Predictions (36)

1 year ago

mozrules Level 12, Guru (H$39,765)

predicted No (H$550 at 39%)

1 year ago

angelbaby3207 Level 8, Super-Pro (H$5,731)

predicted No (H$20 at 38%)

1 year ago

bitz

predicted No (H$500 at 72%)

1 year ago

questmaster Level 12, Guru (H$28,890)

predicted No (H$56 at 71%)

1 year ago

triathematician Level 15, Seer (H$439,912)

predicted No (H$1,000 at 64%)

Comments (12)

crowe

http://www.hubdub.com/e/User/_6225/
sun. 5/11/08 4:45 P.M. cst

posted 1 year ago

lucidstates Level 14, Prophet (H$173,549)

http://www.hubdub.com/e/User/_6298
Mon. 05/12/08 9:58pm PST

posted 1 year ago

junkie_1 Level 13, Psychic (H$77,678)

6336 right now

posted 1 year ago

chatarra Level 16, Oracle (H$638,576)

http://www.hubdub.com/e/User/_5810
Curiously, this is AKA user # 6344
Wed. 5/14/2008 8:32 A.M. MST

posted 1 year ago

junkie_1 Level 13, Psychic (H$77,678)

Although this suspends on 3:59 PM the 6400th user can join anytime on the 15th of May .

posted 1 year ago

bitz

there is something very fishy about how this quesiton is panning out

posted 1 year ago

theonecalledmichael Level 15, Seer (H$312,211)

there you go, sexybabyxx is LUCKY "New" User # 6400... welcome to HubDub, where cheaters are rewarded with extra user accounts.... FLAGGED

posted 1 year ago

fingers_of_fury Level 18, Megadubber (H$2,428,613)

http://www.hubdub.com/e/User/_6412 and counting...

posted 1 year ago

lucidstates Level 14, Prophet (H$173,549)

Someone is CHEATING big time on these Q's and IT ISN'T THE FIRST TIME, if anyone has been around more than 2 months would confirm with me!! I've flagged this Q along with another one for 7,500 by End of May cause these last 50 - 80 users seem to have names that are nearly ALL just 2 random words put together!!! I am NOT betting on these USER questions EVER AGAIN cause they are constantly being cheated!

HubDub, PLEASE do something about this, it's a scam!

posted 1 year ago

lucidstates Level 14, Prophet (H$173,549)

BTW, I do NOT believe Junkie is doing the cheating, I totally think it is some other users!

Junkie, I think you're cool man, but someone's scammin'!

posted 1 year ago

nigeleccles [Admin]

Thanks everyone for highlighting your concerns about gaming of these markets. I've looked through the registration profiles of the last 500 new registrations and there is no evidence of gaming (including sexybaby, you guys should friend her and find out :-). We have had a surge new registrations over the past 2 weeks (hurrah!) which has been down to three things:
1. More people have been getting their friends to register (thanks! Keep spreading the word)
2. We got mentioned by Leo Laporte last Saturday. Leo is an A-list tech journalist who does the awesome This Week in Tech podcast
3. We were on the front page of Reddit yesterday (you may have seen the site slow down slightly as we dealt with the 12,000 new visitors they sent us - we've tuned the system so we can better handle that now)

We hope this is the start of much faster user growth so shoot high in your subsequent predictions!

posted 1 year ago

lucidstates Level 14, Prophet (H$173,549)

Well, thank you so much Nigel for updating us and I must say, CONGRATS ON THE AWESOME PUBLICITY MAN ;-D

Way to go, wooooot! :-D

posted 1 year ago