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Will Hubdub hit 6400 users by 15th May 2008?

Settled as Yes

Front page article on Reddit yesterday certainly helped

Background:

With 6200 almost achieved this is the next target.
Over a 100 users joined Hubdub this weekend so be careful.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
67%
No
33%
Activity: H$31,573
Settled as Yes on Thu 15th May 2008 3:55am PDT

Suspend date: Wed 14th May 2008 4:59pm PDT Settlement date: Thu 15th May 2008 3:55am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 14th May 2008 4:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 45%

Action history:

Created Sun 11th May 2008 6:02am PDT by junkie_1
Settlement requested Wed 14th May 2008 4:49pm PDT by fingers_of_fury: YES: Hubdub hit 6400 users

http://www.hubdub.com/e/User/_6400
Suspended Wed 14th May 2008 4:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Yes' Thu 15th May 2008 3:55am PDT by nigeleccles[Admin]: Front page article on Reddit yesterday certainly helped

Suspend date: Wed 14th May 2008 4:59pm PDT Settlement date: Thu 15th May 2008 3:55am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 14th May 2008 4:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (36)

36 predictions

34 weeks ago
mozrules predicted No (H$550 at 39%)
34 weeks ago
angelbaby3207 predicted No (H$20 at 38%)
34 weeks ago
bitz predicted No (H$500 at 72%)
34 weeks ago
questmaster predicted No (H$56 at 71%)
34 weeks ago
triathematician predicted No (H$1,000 at 64%)
more

Comments (12)

  1 crowe
http://www.hubdub.com/e/User/_6225/
sun. 5/11/08 4:45 P.M. cst
posted 34 weeks ago
http://www.hubdub.com/e/User/_6298
Mon. 05/12/08 9:58pm PST
posted 34 weeks ago
  3 junkie_1
6336 right now
posted 34 weeks ago
  4 chatarra
http://www.hubdub.com/e/User/_5810
Curiously, this is AKA user # 6344
Wed. 5/14/2008 8:32 A.M. MST
posted 34 weeks ago
  5 junkie_1
Although this suspends on 3:59 PM the 6400th user can join anytime on the 15th of May .
posted 34 weeks ago
  6 bitz
there is something very fishy about how this quesiton is panning out
posted 34 weeks ago
there you go, sexybabyxx is LUCKY "New" User # 6400... welcome to HubDub, where cheaters are rewarded with extra user accounts.... FLAGGED
posted 34 weeks ago
http://www.hubdub.com/e/User/_6412 and counting...
posted 34 weeks ago
Someone is CHEATING big time on these Q's and IT ISN'T THE FIRST TIME, if anyone has been around more than 2 months would confirm with me!! I've flagged this Q along with another one for 7,500 by End of May cause these last 50 - 80 users seem to have names that are nearly ALL just 2 random words put together!!! I am NOT betting on these USER questions EVER AGAIN cause they are constantly being cheated!

HubDub, PLEASE do something about this, it's a scam!
posted 33 weeks ago
BTW, I do NOT believe Junkie is doing the cheating, I totally think it is some other users!

Junkie, I think you're cool man, but someone's scammin'!
posted 33 weeks ago
Thanks everyone for highlighting your concerns about gaming of these markets. I've looked through the registration profiles of the last 500 new registrations and there is no evidence of gaming (including sexybaby, you guys should friend her and find out :-). We have had a surge new registrations over the past 2 weeks (hurrah!) which has been down to three things:
1. More people have been getting their friends to register (thanks! Keep spreading the word)
2. We got mentioned by Leo Laporte last Saturday. Leo is an A-list tech journalist who does the awesome This Week in Tech podcast
3. We were on the front page of Reddit yesterday (you may have seen the site slow down slightly as we dealt with the 12,000 new visitors they sent us - we've tuned the system so we can better handle that now)

We hope this is the start of much faster user growth so shoot high in your subsequent predictions!

posted 33 weeks ago
Well, thank you so much Nigel for updating us and I must say, CONGRATS ON THE AWESOME PUBLICITY MAN ;-D

Way to go, wooooot! :-D
posted 33 weeks ago

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