MLB - How many more wins will Daisuke Matsuzaka ( Boston Red Sox) have before losing?

Suspend date: Fri 11th Jul 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sun 22nd Jun 2008 2:03am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 21st Jun 2008 2pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Zero (0): 20%, One (1): 20%, Two (2): 15%, Three (3): 15%, Four (4): 10%, Five (5): 10%, Six (6): 5%, More than six: 5%

Action history:

Created Sun 11th May 2008 2:06pm PDT by kelly

Settlement requested Wed 28th May 2008 9:46am PDT by mrperfkt: Matsuzaka lost on 5/27. He was 9-0 prior to that game and won 3 more since May 10th, when he was 6-0. Please settle as 3.

http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/players/7906

Settled as 'Three (3)' Wed 28th May 2008 10:15am PDT by donal

Previous action withdrawn Thu 29th May 2008 6:16am PDT by donal

Settlement requested Sat 21st Jun 2008 6:28pm PDT by onedave: Please settle as 2. Matsuzaka lost today. He is 8-1. http://boston.redsox.mlb.com/news/gameday_recap.jsp?ymd=20080621&content_id=2976157&vkey=recap&fext=.jsp&c_id=bos

Suspended Sat 21st Jun 2008 9:03pm PDT by newswrangler: Suspended pending settlement

Settlement requested Sat 21st Jun 2008 9:03pm PDT by newswrangler:
Game ended at about 8:00PM EDT

I don't know if you want to cut off predictions when the game started ...

<http://newyork.mets.mlb.com/news/gameday_recap.jsp?ymd=20080621&content_id=2976169&vkey=recap&fext=.jsp&c_id=mlb>
(market suspended)

Settlement requested Sat 21st Jun 2008 9:10pm PDT by newswrangler:
Update - Game was over prior to 6:58PM ET

Game began at 4:00 PM EDT

<http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/boxscore?gid=280621102>

Settled as 'Two (2)' Sun 22nd Jun 2008 2:03am PDT by hopkirk

Suspend date: Fri 11th Jul 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sun 22nd Jun 2008 2:03am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 21st Jun 2008 2pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
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