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Will an aftershock > 7.0 occur within 100km of the 7.8 quake that hit Sichuan prov 5/12?

Settled as No

BEIJING - Chinese media say the earthquake death toll in one Sichuan county is estimated at 3,000 to 5,000 people. The powerful earthquake struck central China on Monday, trapping nearly 900 students after their school collapsed, state media reported. The 7.8-magnitude earthquake hit central China, but sent thousands of people rushing out of buildings and into the streets hundreds of miles away in Beijing and Shanghai. The temblor was felt as far away as Pakistan, Vietnam and Thailand.
 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
14%
No
86%
Activity: H$9,545
Settled as No on Thu 15th May 10:37pm PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Thu 15th May 12:59am PDT

Settlement date: Thu 15th May 10:37pm PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 15th May 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%

Action history:

Created Mon 12th May 5:59am PDT by valornhonor[Power User]
Clarified Mon 12th May 2:38pm PDT by tisha[Admin]: The relevant time period is until the suspension date of the question, May 14
Suspended Thu 15th May 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Thu 15th May 2:52pm PDT by markov: No aftershock greater than 7.0 reported.
Settled as 'No' Thu 15th May 10:37pm PDT by tisha[Admin]: No aftershock of this magnitude reported.
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (25)

25 predictions

15 weeks ago
jaspersoddity predicted No (H$1,200 at 86%)
15 weeks ago
myunion predicted No (H$20 at 85%)
15 weeks ago
myunion predicted No (H$20 at 85%)
15 weeks ago
legnahcra predicted No (H$53 at 85%)
15 weeks ago
myunion predicted No (H$20 at 84%)
more

Comments (4)

Y'all may be too young to remember the ad campaign from Parkay margarine..."It's not nice to mess with Mother Nature." Is it just me of does it seem like the earth itself is furious these past couple of weeks? Cyclones, fires, tornadoes, earthquakes, perhaps a posted question on locust would be in order...
posted 15 weeks ago
... and sink holes in Texas and Maryland...
posted 15 weeks ago
and the famously beligerent attacking pelicans!

TREASURE ISLAND, Fla. — An Ohio woman is recovering after a pelican slammed into her face while she was swimming in the Gulf of Mexico. Debbie Shoemaker of Toledo, Ohio, was swimming Thursday near Treasure Island, a beach community west of St. Petersburg, when she felt something hit her face. The bird's large beak ripped through her cheek, requiring 25 stitches.

posted 15 weeks ago
  4 mork[Power User]
I just tried searching for a clip from jon stewart's daily show without success.
It is a skit called 'screw the earth' (or something similar)(nsfw), it explains everything.
posted 15 weeks ago

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