Created Mon 12th May 2008 9:49am PST by 
donal
donal 
Will Ken Griffey Jnr be traded to the Seattle Mariners before the 2008 trade deadline?
Settled as No
Griffey goes to White Sox.
http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20080731&content_id=3230331&vkey=trade2008&fext=.jsp&c_id=mlb
Background:
Background: In 2007, Ken Griffey Junior stated a desire to one day return to Seattle, the team he began his career with. He repeated these sentiments last week in an interview with USA today. This and comments by Seattle Mariners president Chuck Armstrong instigated much speculation that a trade may be in the works:
"I think everyone in Seattle would like to see him retire in a Mariners uniform. He was born a Mariner, and I'd like to see him finish up as a Mariner."
How this scenario would play out though has been clouded by Junior's more recent reference to the retirement of Emmitt Smith and the tokenistic one day contract he signed with Dallas in order to (nominally) retire a Cowboy.
But surely, at this stage of his career, Junior would rather play for the Mariners who are more likely to contend now and in the short term than the Reds. And surely "everyone in Seattle who would like to seem him retire in a Mariners uniform" would rather see him wear it for a year or more in the outfield at Safeco Field than for one day at a press conference.
I think there is a better chance of this trade occurring this year than what Griffey is letting on. I'll put it at 35%.
"I think everyone in Seattle would like to see him retire in a Mariners uniform. He was born a Mariner, and I'd like to see him finish up as a Mariner."
How this scenario would play out though has been clouded by Junior's more recent reference to the retirement of Emmitt Smith and the tokenistic one day contract he signed with Dallas in order to (nominally) retire a Cowboy.
But surely, at this stage of his career, Junior would rather play for the Mariners who are more likely to contend now and in the short term than the Reds. And surely "everyone in Seattle who would like to seem him retire in a Mariners uniform" would rather see him wear it for a year or more in the outfield at Safeco Field than for one day at a press conference.
I think there is a better chance of this trade occurring this year than what Griffey is letting on. I'll put it at 35%.
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Forecast history %
| Yes |
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| No |
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Settled as No on Thu 31st Jul 2008 11:55am PST
- Activity: H$32,963 |
- Predictions: 42 |
Comments: 4
Suspend date: Thu 31st Jul 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 31st Jul 2008 11:55am PST
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 35%
Action history:
Created Mon 12th May 2008 9:49am PST by donal
donal
Settlement requested Thu 31st Jul 2008 9:04am PST by 
dieseldog
: griffey traded to white sox. please settle as no.
http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news;_ylt=At.pohh8y9Jcb1amCluMDAcRvLYF?slug=ti-griffeytrade073108&prov=yhoo&type=lgns
dieseldog: griffey traded to white sox. please settle as no.
http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news;_ylt=At.pohh8y9Jcb1amCluMDAcRvLYF?slug=ti-griffeytrade073108&prov=yhoo&type=lgns
Settled as 'No' Thu 31st Jul 2008 11:55am PST by 
mrperfkt![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: Griffey goes to White Sox.
http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20080731&content_id=3230331&vkey=trade2008&fext=.jsp&c_id=mlb
mrperfkt: Griffey goes to White Sox.
http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20080731&content_id=3230331&vkey=trade2008&fext=.jsp&c_id=mlb
Suspend date: Thu 31st Jul 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 31st Jul 2008 11:55am PST details 
Get widget!Predictions (42)
jughead55
predicted No (H$100 at 87%)
spurt34
reverend_rightComments (4)
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If the Hubdub Powersthatbe...as in the users think they know better, then they can make their predictions. Thats what prediction markets are all about!
Appears to be going to Chicago, pending the commissioner's approval.
http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20080731&content_id=3230331&vkey=trade2008&fext=.jsp&c_id=mlb
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