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Who will win the Libertarian Party nomination for President?

Settled as Bob Barr

[from wikipedia]

The 2008 Libertarian National Convention will be held from May 22 to May 26 at the Sheraton Hotel (formerly the Adam's Mark Hotel)[1] in Denver, Colorado. The convention, sponsored by the United States Libertarian Party, will nominate a candidate for the presidency and vice-presidency in the 2008 presidential election through the convention process.

Libertarian Party
Candidates for the Libertarian Party:

Bob BarrX. Former Republican Congressman from Georgia.
James Burns.[30] Former chairman of the Nevada Libertarian Party.
Mike Gravel. Former Democratic U.S. Senator from Alaska.
Daniel Imperato. Entrepreneur from Florida.
Mike Jingozian of Oregon.[31][32] Software company founder.
Steve Kubby. Author, political activist, and cannabis consultant from California.
Robert Milnes,X political activist, from New Jersey. [33]
George Phillies. Physics professor, writer, and libertarian activist from Massachusetts.
Wayne Allyn Root. Author, CEO, TV celebrity, and producer from Nevada.
Mary Ruwart of Texas. Research scientist, author, and political activist.
Christine Smith of Colorado.[34][35] Writer and humanitarian activist.

Note: Ron Paul is included in this list, although he is at the moment still "running" for the Republican nomination.

Initial odds are pretty flat, since I know very little about most of these people.
 
% chance over time
   Zoom in

Settled

Bob Barr
90%
James Burns
0%
Mike Gravel
1%
Daniel Imperato
1%
Ron Paul
2%
George Phillies
0%
Wayne Allyn Root
3%
Mary Ruwart
0%
Christine Smith
0%
Someone Else
2%
Activity: H$44,994
Settled as Bob Barr on Tue 27th May 6:48am PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Fri 23rd May 12:59am PDT

Settlement date: Tue 27th May 6:48am PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 23rd May 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Bob Barr: 5%, James Burns: 10%, Mike Gravel: 5%, Daniel Imperato: 10%, Ron Paul: 20%, George Phillies: 10%, Wayne Allyn Root: 10%, Mary Ruwart: 10%, Christine Smith: 5%, Someone Else: 15%

Action history:

Created Mon 12th May 12:20pm PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]
Suspended Fri 23rd May 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sun 25th May 2:57pm PDT by newswrangler[Power User]:
Winning prediction: Bob Barr

<http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5h__Y67IpXiQ2tpHYzBMDIpRNfqYwD90STU3O0>
Settled as 'Bob Barr' Tue 27th May 6:48am PDT by robuk[Admin]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions

83 predictions

13 weeks ago
notablenotices predicted Bob Barr (H$20 at 90%)
13 weeks ago
fellcolor predicted Wayne Allyn Root (H$50 at 1%)
13 weeks ago
kscope predicted Bob Barr (H$4,849 at 94%)
13 weeks ago
cndchaos predicted Bob Barr (H$100 at 90%)
13 weeks ago
stephmoreland predicted Bob Barr (H$41 at 90%)
more

Comments

  1 chatarra
Clinton Concedes to Obama, Steals Libertarian Nomination from Barr

http://www.thespoof.com/news/spoof.cfm?headline=s2i35848
posted 13 weeks ago
The Libertarian Party has picked former Republican Rep. Bob Barr to be its presidential candidate after six rounds of balloting.

The Associated Press reports: "Barr beat research scientist Mary Ruwart, who was the party's presidential nominee in 1983 and vice presidential candidate in 1992. Barr left the GOP in 2006 over what he called bloated spending and civil liberties intrusions by the Bush administration."

Bob Barr, a former congressman from Georgia, gained fame by helping press the impeachment of President Bill Clinton for lying under oath to conceal an affair.
posted 13 weeks ago

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