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What will be the next release in the AOE series?

Current forecast: Age of Empires 4 (59% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Age of Empires 4 with a probability of 59% (unchanged in last 1 day)

The Age Of Empires series (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Age_of_Empires) is the flagship strategy game from Microsoft . The last release was a expansion to AOE III dubbed The Asian Dynastics.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Age of Empires 4
59%
Another expansion to AOE III
27%
No release before Dec. 2009
14%
Activity: H$2,650
Question suspends in 48 weeks

Suspend date: Sun 13th Dec 11:59pm PST (48 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Age of Empires 4: 55%, Another expansion to AOE III: 35%, No release before Dec. 2009: 10%

Action history:

Created Tue 13th May 2008 3:41am PDT by junkie_1

Suspend date: Sun 13th Dec 11:59pm PST (48 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (14)

14 predictions

4 weeks ago
clown_trooper predicted Age of Empires 4 (H$20 at 60%)
8 weeks ago
moveaway00 predicted No release before Dec. 2009 (H$100 at 12%)
8 weeks ago
samwilliams197 predicted No release before Dec. 2009 (H$50 at 11%)
8 weeks ago
awills predicted No release before Dec. 2009 (H$100 at 9%)
9 weeks ago
moqui predicted Another expansion to AOE III (H$100 at 28%)
more

Comments (1)

  1 bbz_
Microsoft bought Ensemble Studios in 2001. They released a lot of AOE stuff since then, but recently Microsoft had them working only on "Halo Wars" and then declared it was shutting down Ensemble: http://kotaku.com/5047753/read-the-ensemble-youre-done-here-email-from-microsoft

Also, the last AOE3 patch was a "fan patch," I believe so that fans can continue to modify the game after Ensemble is gone.

That's not to say a professionally developed addition to the AOE series won't exist, just that the future of the series is in rocky territory.
posted 3 days ago

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