Created Tue 13th May 2008 7:06am PDT by 
paulcroft
All questions » General » Tragedy » paulcroft Will the official death toll of the May 12th Chinese Earthquake exceed 50,000?
Voided
The likelihood of 50,000 being killed is a bit high in this market; like you cited, around 12,000 are dead and 18,000 are missing. Please fix the likelihood and resubmit. It is definitely an interesting market. Thanks.
Background:
One day after the earthquake the toll is listed at 12,000 with 18,000 still buried or missing.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Suspend date: Mon 30th Jun 2008 4:59pm PDT
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 65%
Action history:
Created Tue 13th May 2008 7:06am PDT by paulcroft
paulcroft
Voided Wed 14th May 2008 2:53am PDT by 
diana
: The likelihood of 50,000 being killed is a bit high in this market; like you cited, around 12,000 are dead and 18,000 are missing. Please fix the likelihood and resubmit. It is definitely an interesting market. Thanks.
diana: The likelihood of 50,000 being killed is a bit high in this market; like you cited, around 12,000 are dead and 18,000 are missing. Please fix the likelihood and resubmit. It is definitely an interesting market. Thanks.
Suspend date: Mon 30th Jun 2008 4:59pm PDT
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (22)
22 predictions
amortifiedpenguin
fijis
predicted Yes (H$200 at 60%)
allenger
predicted No (H$50 at 40%)
cmyro
fellcolor
predicted No (H$50 at 39%)
chull
predicted No (H$100 at 39%)
alison78
myunion
jimbo
jenniandboys![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
predicted No (H$100 at 35%)
coolkraft
predicted Yes (H$100 at 65%)Comments (1)
What is Hubdub?
Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.
Join now or learn moreRelated News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
CNBC 37 weeks ago
China A-shares finished the morning session higher led by financials after China Merchants Bank reported a 157 pct surge in first-quarter net...
score: 10
Bloomberg 37 weeks ago
General Motors Corp., the largest overseas vehicle maker in China, expects its sales growth in the country to accelerate in the second half of the...
score: 10
People's Daily 40 weeks ago
An earthquake with a magnitude of 5.0 shook parts of northwest China's Gansu Province on Sunday. No casualties have been reported so far. . But the...
score: 10
China Daily 40 weeks ago
An earthquake with a magnitude of 5.0 shook parts of northwest China's Gansu Province on Sunday. No casualties have been reported so far.. . But...
score: 10
NewsBlaze 40 weeks ago
China Public Security Technology, Inc. (OTC Bulletin Board: CPBY) ("China Public Security" or the "Company"), a leading provider of public security...
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2008-06/02/content_8300457.htm
Please log in or join to add a comment