
What percentage of front page stories on Digg will be Tech in March 2009?
Unfortunately, the author of the original analysis has decided not to repeat the analysis this year. I guess no one cares about what percentage of Digg's front page is tech anymore as everyone is on Twitter!
Background:>
1st Week in March 2006: 75.72%
1st Week in March 2007: 37.89%
1st Week in March 2008: 19.78%
Get over it, we're mainstream now
The reason for the drop is pretty clear as Digg tries to make itself more mainstream, potentially in preparation for a sale. In last night's town hall event Kevin and Jay pretty much seemed to be say "Get over it, we're mainstream now". (Mashable: http://tinyurl.com/5al24u)
So what will the percentage of tech stories in most popular be in March 2009 compared with March 2008? If the current rate of halving continues it will be around 9%. However, I don't often see tech on the front page of Yahoo News so if that is the aspiration it could be even less.
Settlement details:Analysis of the percentage of tech stories on Digg most popular page for the first week of March 2009
| Higher (> 24%) |
| |||
| Same (18.1 - 24%) |
| |||
| Bit lower (12.1 - 18%) |
| |||
| Much lower (6 - 12%) |
| |||
| Tech? (< 6%) |
|
- Activity: H$15,241 |
- Predictions: 36 |
Comments: 2
Suspend date: Sat 28th Feb 11:59pm PST
Initial likelihoods: Higher (> 24%): 10%, Same (18.1 - 24%): 35%, Bit lower (12.1 - 18%): 40%, Much lower (6 - 12%): 10%, Tech? (< 6%): 5%
Action history:
Suspend date: Sat 28th Feb 11:59pm PST details
Predictions (36)
Comments (2)
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