What percentage of front page stories on Digg will be Tech in March 2009?
Voided
Unfortunately, the author of the original analysis has decided not to repeat the analysis this year. I guess no one cares about what percentage of Digg's front page is tech anymore as everyone is on Twitter!
Background:
Background: Recent analysis conducted for ReadWriteWeb has shown that the presence of Tech stories on Digg has halved every year for the past 3 years (RWW: http://tinyurl.com/6xsrap). They found the percentage of most popular stories that are Tech on the front page were:
1st Week in March 2006: 75.72%
1st Week in March 2007: 37.89%
1st Week in March 2008: 19.78%
Get over it, we're mainstream now
The reason for the drop is pretty clear as Digg tries to make itself more mainstream, potentially in preparation for a sale. In last night's town hall event Kevin and Jay pretty much seemed to be say "Get over it, we're mainstream now". (Mashable: http://tinyurl.com/5al24u)
So what will the percentage of tech stories in most popular be in March 2009 compared with March 2008? If the current rate of halving continues it will be around 9%. However, I don't often see tech on the front page of Yahoo News so if that is the aspiration it could be even less.
1st Week in March 2006: 75.72%
1st Week in March 2007: 37.89%
1st Week in March 2008: 19.78%
Get over it, we're mainstream now
The reason for the drop is pretty clear as Digg tries to make itself more mainstream, potentially in preparation for a sale. In last night's town hall event Kevin and Jay pretty much seemed to be say "Get over it, we're mainstream now". (Mashable: http://tinyurl.com/5al24u)
So what will the percentage of tech stories in most popular be in March 2009 compared with March 2008? If the current rate of halving continues it will be around 9%. However, I don't often see tech on the front page of Yahoo News so if that is the aspiration it could be even less.
Settlement details:Analysis of the percentage of tech stories on Digg most popular page for the first week of March 2009
Forecast history %
| Higher (> 24%) |
| |||
| Same (18.1 - 24%) |
| |||
| Bit lower (12.1 - 18%) |
| |||
| Much lower (6 - 12%) |
| |||
| Tech? (< 6%) |
|
Voided Wed 20th May 11:45pm PST
- Activity: H$15,241 |
- Predictions: 36 |
Comments: 2
Suspend date: Sat 28th Feb 11:59pm PST
Initial likelihoods: Higher (> 24%): 10%, Same (18.1 - 24%): 35%, Bit lower (12.1 - 18%): 40%, Much lower (6 - 12%): 10%, Tech? (< 6%): 5%
Action history:
Suspended Sat 28th Feb 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Voided Wed 20th May 11:45pm PST by 
nigeleccles![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: Unfortunately, the author of the original analysis has decided not to repeat the analysis this year. I guess no one cares about what percentage of Digg's front page is tech anymore as everyone is on Twitter!
nigeleccles: Unfortunately, the author of the original analysis has decided not to repeat the analysis this year. I guess no one cares about what percentage of Digg's front page is tech anymore as everyone is on Twitter! 
Suspend date: Sat 28th Feb 11:59pm PST details 
Get widget!Predictions (36)
donnamil
predicted Much lower (6 - 12%) (H$100 at 27%)
adammccormicks
predicted Much lower (6 - 12%) (H$100 at 25%)
lesley
predicted Bit lower (12.1 - 18%) (H$100 at 43%)Comments (2)
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