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Created Tue 13th May 1:27pm PDT by loren
All questions » Politics » US Election 2008 » 

How much of the vote with the Libertarian Party garner in the US Presidential election?

Settled as Less than 2.5%

Third party candidates have rarely done well in US presidential politics, but a strong third party candidate can play a spoiler for the major parties. The Libertarians may play the spoiler in 2008. What percentage of the vote will they get this year?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 Greater than 2.5%
13%
Less than 2.5%
87%
Activity: H$22,860
Settled as Less than 2.5% on Fri 7th Nov 5:29am PST

Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 8:59pm PST Settlement date: Fri 7th Nov 5:29am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 3rd Nov 8:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Greater than 2.5%: 50%, Less than 2.5%: 50%

Action history:

Created Tue 13th May 1:27pm PDT by loren
Suspended Mon 3rd Nov 8:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 7th Nov 2:09am PST by pitchedoutsideleg: <2.5%

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/specials/election_night_2008/election_map_premium/index.html?SITE=NCSHE
Settled as 'Less than 2.5%' Fri 7th Nov 5:29am PST by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 8:59pm PST Settlement date: Fri 7th Nov 5:29am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 3rd Nov 8:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (28)

28 predictions

2 weeks ago
jpkoester1 predicted Less than 2.5% (H$100 at 87%)
3 weeks ago
destry[Admin] predicted Less than 2.5% (H$2,500 at 79%)
12 weeks ago
thesloth840 predicted Less than 2.5% (H$20 at 74%)
12 weeks ago
johndeboer predicted Greater than 2.5% (H$50 at 26%)
12 weeks ago
brosenau predicted Greater than 2.5% (H$20 at 25%)
more

Comments (1)

  1 chatarra
Clinton Concedes to Obama, Steals Libertarian Nomination from Barr
http://www.thespoof.com/news/spoof.cfm?headline=s2i35848
posted 26 weeks ago

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