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Will the Alabama Gulf Coast suffer a direct hit from a hurricane before October 31, 2008

Settled as No

No such hurricanes

Background:

Official Clarification - to suffer a 'direct hit', the eye of the Hurricane must hit the coast


Settlement details: As reported by The Weather Channel

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
3%
No
97%
Activity: H$93,174
Settled as No on Sat 1st Nov 2008 3:23pm PDT

Suspend date: Fri 31st Oct 2008 10:59pm PDT Settlement date: Sat 1st Nov 2008 3:23pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 31st Oct 2008 10:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 25%

Action history:

Created Tue 13th May 2008 7:17pm PDT by vdc5087
Settlement requested Wed 29th Oct 2008 11:41pm PDT by pixelpaws: It hasn't happened yet and the NHC only is tracking one possible threat area that's well out into the Atlantic right now. It would be impossible for something to develop into a hurricane and hit Alabama within the next 48 hours.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml
Suspended Thu 30th Oct 2008 1:17am PDT by tisha[Admin]: Suspended pending settlement
Settlement requested Fri 31st Oct 2008 7:12pm PDT by destry[Admin]: NO hurricanes hit before 10/31
Settled as 'No' Sat 1st Nov 2008 3:23pm PDT by tisha[Admin]: No such hurricanes

Suspend date: Fri 31st Oct 2008 10:59pm PDT Settlement date: Sat 1st Nov 2008 3:23pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 31st Oct 2008 10:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (86)

86 predictions

10 weeks ago
toejam predicted No (H$100 at 97%)
10 weeks ago
htlsales predicted No (H$500 at 95%)
10 weeks ago
vaibhavt predicted Yes (H$20 at 5%)
10 weeks ago
maartenkaas predicted No (H$100 at 93%)
10 weeks ago
telecentricity predicted No (H$20 at 93%)
more

Comments (1)

  1 pixelpaws
Alabama is one heck of a small target...
posted 16 weeks ago

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