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Now that Obama has been elected President, will Clinton ever run for the White House again?

Current forecast: 31% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 31% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Chris Mathews predicts "there won't be another time if Barack wins the presidency" in regards to Clinton ever running for the white house again.

Will this be Clinton's last shot? She's only 60 and most politicians don't "retire." Although some say she might head for the NY Governors office or maybe the Senate majority leader, will she ever make another attempt at the elusive office of the presidency?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. Market refers to Hillary Clinton

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
31%
No
69%
Activity: H$1,869
Question suspends in 2 years

Suspend date: Fri 4th Nov 2011 12:59am PDT (2 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 30%

Action history:

Suspend date: Fri 4th Nov 2011 12:59am PDT (2 years to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (17)

17 predictions

1 day ago
nycwriter2 predicted Yes (H$100 at 31%)
13 weeks ago
richporter predicted Yes (H$100 at 30%)
31 weeks ago
timkraan predicted Yes (H$20 at 31%)
31 weeks ago
derekkraan predicted Yes (H$20 at 31%)
31 weeks ago
timkraan predicted Yes (H$20 at 31%)
more

Comments (4)

  1 onedave[Power User]
How would this market be settled as no?
posted 32 weeks ago
It will settle as no when she dies (or perhaps after Chelsea has her first presidential bid?) I asked Ryan about it when he posted it and he just plans to let it sit at 99% indefinitely. He suggested the suspend date can just be moved back every 4 years depending on whether she runs or not.
posted 32 weeks ago
well, i guess not much money will go into it, then...
posted 32 weeks ago
  4 jsevigny
thatīs a long, long suspend date
posted 11 weeks ago

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