raidersin09
Will there be a dam failure in China resulting from quake damage by May 16?
No report of dam failure.
Background:
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source. Dam failure means a loss of structural integrity that results in water escaping, whether or not it causes significant damage to anything downstream. Release of water by any mechanism designed intentionally for that purpose does not count, nor does minor controllable leakage.
Settled
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Yes |
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No |
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Suspend date: Fri 16th May 2008 4:59pm PDT Settlement date: Sat 17th May 2008 3:55am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 16th May 2008 4:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 45%
Action history:
raidersin09 
orlin
: Answer is NO.
randburg
: No dam failure by May 16th. The date in the question has passed. 
diana
: No report of dam failure.
Suspend date: Fri 16th May 2008 4:59pm PDT Settlement date: Sat 17th May 2008 3:55am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 16th May 2008 4:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
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Get widget!Predictions (59)
59 predictions
kasulked
predicted Yes (H$50 at 6%)
predicted No (H$100 at 91%)
predicted Yes (H$20 at 8%)
predicted No (H$1,300 at 91%)
predicted No (H$3,313 at 90%)
keyeshoveden![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted No (H$121 at 90%)
anaverageamerican
camedwardo
lewisdotcom
predicted No (H$100 at 92%)Comments (0)
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raidersin09
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