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Will Obama win the popular vote but lose the electoral college in the 08 race?

Settled as No


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. If Obama is not the candidate for the Democratic party the market shall be voided.

 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Yes
11%
No
89%
Activity: H$21,550
Settled as No on Tue 4th Nov 2008 9:35pm PST

Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 2008 9:35pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 3rd Nov 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 30%

Action history:

Created Wed 14th May 2008 9:25am PDT by punditwatch[Admin]
Suspended Mon 3rd Nov 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Tue 4th Nov 2008 9:34pm PST by newswrangler[Power User]: Winning prediction = "No"

Obama won both the popular vote and the electoral college.
Settled as 'No' Tue 4th Nov 2008 9:35pm PST by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Tue 4th Nov 2008 9:35pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 3rd Nov 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
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Predictions (31)

31 predictions

9 weeks ago
drzinternet predicted No (H$1,000 at 90%)
9 weeks ago
drzinternet predicted No (H$2,000 at 86%)
9 weeks ago
drzinternet predicted No (H$1,000 at 86%)
9 weeks ago
drzinternet predicted No (H$1,070 at 86%)
9 weeks ago
drzinternet predicted No (H$1,000 at 86%)
more

Comments (1)

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