Created Wed 14th May 3:58pm PDT by 
erichhaubrich
All questions » World » Middle East » erichhaubrich 
Will the U.S. use nuclear weapons against Iran in 2008?
Current forecast: 14% chance 
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 14% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)
In order to destroy heavily hardened facilities that allegedly house Iranain nuclear facilities the U.S. would have to use specialized nuclear bunker buster bombs. Recent policy decisions by the U.S. leadership allow for pre-emptive nuclear strikes.
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Yes |
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Activity: H$57,433
Question suspends in 9 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 11:59pm PST (9 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods:
Yes: 50%
Action history:
Created Wed 14th May 3:58pm PDT by erichhaubrich
erichhaubrich
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all
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score: 10
Arms Control Association 4 days ago
Dwight D. Eisenhower gave his ?Atoms for Peace? address to the UN General Assembly. He proposed to share nuclear materials and information for peaceful purposes with other countries through a new international agency. That speech led to negotiations
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