Created Wed 14th May 4:26pm PDT by 
f201
All questions » Politics » US Election 2008 » f201 
Who will win North Carolina in the 2008 Presidential Election?
Current forecast: McCain (55% chance
8%)
8%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is McCain with a probability of 55% (up 8% in last 1 day)
Although North Carolina traditionally votes Republican, Obama's sweeping win in the primary and the high African American population suggests that there is a chance that it might swing to the Democratic column this fall. North Carolina is an important part of the Democrats win strategy, will it work?
Make your prediction!
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Activity: H$69,739
Question suspends in 8 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Suspend date: Wed 5th Nov 11:59pm PST (8 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods:
Obama: 40%, McCain: 55%, Other: 5%
Action history:
Created Wed 14th May 4:26pm PDT by f201
f201
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all
Get widget!New!Predictions (139)
139 predictions
infernalmachine![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
predicted Obama (H$300 at 43%)Comments (4)
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score: 10
score: 10
Construction Executive 6 days ago
for Republicans. The survey of 1,000 likely voters taken August 10-14, reveals a one point (47-46%) advantage for John McCain on the ballot test but, by an astounding 51-34% margin, these same voters believe that Barack Obama will win the presidency.
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