Created Thu 15th May 11:58am PDT by

Will Hubdub hit 7000 users by 31st May 2008?

Settled as Yes

6400 was reached on 15th May. So there are about 15 days left and we need 600 users i.e. an average of 40 per day. Hubdub gets about 25-35 users on a good day and gets double that on weekends (based on a weeks worth of survey) .

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history, %

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Settled

Yes

96%

Activity: H$97,124

Settled as Yes on Thu 29th May 1:16am PDT

Suspend date: Sat 31st May 11:59am PDT Settlement date: Thu 29th May 1:16am PDT

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 45%

Action history:

Created Thu 15th May 11:58am PDT by

junkie_1

Settlement requested Wed 28th May 7:25pm PDT by

dieseldog: http://www.hubdub.com/e/User/_7000

Settlement requested Thu 29th May 12:11am PDT by

valornhonor [Power User]

: 7,000 user just signed up! Requesting settlement please, thanks!

Settled as 'Yes' Thu 29th May 1:16am PDT by

nigeleccles [Admin]

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Suspend date: Sat 31st May 11:59am PDT Settlement date: Thu 29th May 1:16am PDT
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Predictions (135)

135 predictions

25 weeks ago

questmaster predicted Yes (H$223 at 96%)

25 weeks ago

bitz predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 95%)

Comments (19)

crowe

http://www.hubdub.com/e/User/_6492
4:14 p.m. CST 5-17-08

posted 26 weeks ago

crowe

http://www.hubdub.com/e/User/_6514
2:20 p.m. CST 5-18-08

posted 26 weeks ago

crowe

http://www.hubdub.com/e/User/_6546
7:31 a.m. CST 5-19-08

posted 26 weeks ago

junkie_1

thanks a lot crowe , you've been really following these questions

posted 26 weeks ago

crowe

http://www.hubdub.com/e/User/_6576
7:26 a.m. CST 5-20-08

posted 26 weeks ago

crowe

if you do the math - this one is going to fall short by about 100 users I'm afraid. there might be a surge - but if you take the avg. users joining each day (~30ish) then we'll end up with 6900 or so.

posted 26 weeks ago

crowe

http://www.hubdub.com/e/User/_6626
7:15 a.m. CST 5-21-08

posted 26 weeks ago

crowe

~50 users joined in the last day - if that keeps up we'll hit 7000. Could be another close one!

posted 26 weeks ago

crowe

http://www.hubdub.com/e/User/_6751
8:17 a.m. CST 5-22-08

posted 26 weeks ago

crowe

249 to go with 9 days left. With an average of 30 a day and 9 days left = 270. We might make it!!!