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Will Hubdub hit 6600 users by 20th May?

Settled as Yes

WARNING: weekend coming up.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
78%
No
22%
Activity: H$22,345
Settled as Yes on Wed 21st May 5:59am PDT

Suspend date: Tue 20th May 1:59pm PDT Settlement date: Wed 21st May 5:59am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 20th May 1:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 65%

Action history:

Created Thu 15th May 12:01pm PDT by junkie_1
Suspended Tue 20th May 1:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Wed 21st May 5:15am PDT by crowe: there were 6600 users before midnight, 5-20-08
Settled as 'Yes' Wed 21st May 5:59am PDT by nigeleccles[Admin]

Suspend date: Tue 20th May 1:59pm PDT Settlement date: Wed 21st May 5:59am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 20th May 1:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (36)

36 predictions

26 weeks ago
keyeshoveden predicted No (H$50 at 24%)
26 weeks ago
valornhonor[Power User] predicted No (H$12 at 24%)
26 weeks ago
brixtolay predicted Yes (H$300 at 76%)
26 weeks ago
questmaster predicted Yes (H$60 at 76%)
26 weeks ago
bigken1 predicted No (H$200 at 24%)
more

Comments (9)

  2 crowe
http://www.hubdub.com/e/User/_6492
4:11 p.m. CST 5-17-08
posted 26 weeks ago
  3 crowe
http://www.hubdub.com/e/User/_6514
2:20 p.m. CST 5-18-08
posted 26 weeks ago
  4 bitz
so does this mean it can happen anytime on May 20th?
posted 26 weeks ago
  5 destry[Admin]
Yes per hubdub rules the word "by" is to be inclusive of the date. If you write a question and want it to be settled based on events not including the date, then you need to use the word "before". I think we should be in the habit of using the phrase "on or before" or "before", so there is no further confusion with the term "by".
posted 26 weeks ago
  6 crowe
http://www.hubdub.com/e/User/_6546
7:31 a.m. CST 5-19-08
posted 26 weeks ago
  7 crowe
http://www.hubdub.com/e/User/_6576
7:26 a.m. CST 5-20-08
posted 26 weeks ago
  8 crowe
this one is going to be CLOSE! good question, junkie!
posted 26 weeks ago
  9 junkie_1
19 users in 12 hours . I reckon they'll make it
posted 26 weeks ago

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