Home Hubdub logo
 
Guest account   Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's play money, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
My Predictions

What will be the capacity of the next larger release in the optical disc media category ?

Current forecast: 350-450 GB (24% chance5%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is 350-450 GB with a probability of 24% (down 5% in last 1 day)

The last release Bluray was 5 times the size of a double layered DVD .Bluray's current capacity is 50GB.
In every option each no. is repeated to remove any chances of a 150.001 GB release. So if a 150 GB disc is released then it will fall into the lower category in which 150 is present i.e. in this case the first option.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Make your prediction!

50-150 GB
4%
150-250 GB
16%
250-350 GB
6%
350-450 GB
24%
450-550 GB
17%
550-650 GB
7%
650-750 GB
3%
750 -850 GB
13%
More than 850 GB
9%
Activity: H$6,187
Question suspends in 1 year

Suspend date: Mon 17th May 2010 12:59am PDT (1 year to go)

Initial likelihoods: 50-150 GB: 1%, 150-250 GB: 5%, 250-350 GB: 10%, 350-450 GB: 20%, 450-550 GB: 28%, 550-650 GB: 20%, 650-750 GB: 10%, 750 -850 GB: 5%, More than 850 GB: 1%

Action history:

Created Thu 15th May 12:58pm PDT by junkie_1

Suspend date: Mon 17th May 2010 12:59am PDT (1 year to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (20)

20 predictions

12 weeks ago
parasyt predicted 250-350 GB (H$100 at 4%)
12 weeks ago
arnos predicted 250-350 GB (H$20 at 3%)
12 weeks ago
airforcemook predicted 50-150 GB (H$100 at 3%)
19 weeks ago
fellcolor predicted 350-450 GB (H$300 at 28%)
25 weeks ago
sjamesas predicted 350-450 GB (H$20 at 26%)
more

Comments (0)

No comments yet

Please log in or join to add a comment

What is Hubdub?

Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.

Join now   or   learn more