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Will it be found that there are Nuclear Reactors at Earth's core/mantle by the suspend date, 16 May?

Settled as No

No news of such by the suspend date.

Background:

Background: Background: How can the existence of these reactors some 3,000 kilometres beneath our feet be proved? De Meijer and Westrenen say that the reactions will generate very light subatomic particles called antineutrinos, which can mostly pass right through Earth and so could be detected by instruments at the surface. Such particles produced by nuclear decay in the mantle have already been seen by a neutrino detector in Japan4.

Neutrino detectors that can sense the direction from which such particles came are now being planned. De Meijer and van Westrenen are both members of a Dutch collaboration called Stichting EARTH, which is aiming to develop such detectors for three-dimensional tomographic mapping of antineutrino sources in the earth. A georeactor would show up in such a survey as a particularly intense, localized source at the core-mantle boundary.

Full Story: http://www.nature.com/news/2008/080515/full/news.2008.822.html

Category Editor Clarification
If there is no news about this by the suspend date, the question will settle as 'no'.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
1%
No
99%
Settled as No on Sat 16th May 10:57pm PST

Suspend date: Fri 15th May 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 16th May 10:57pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 15th May 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Thu 15th May 2008 2:27pm PST by mork[Power User]
Changed Question text Mon 29th Sep 2008 7:34pm PST by tisha[Admin]: show details
... Nuclear Reactors at Earth's ... core or mantle?core/mantle?
Changed Question text Mon 23rd Feb 3:25pm PST by tisha[Admin]: ... /mantle by the suspend date, 16 May?
Settlement requested Tue 24th Mar 2:01pm PST by chris[Admin]: test
Settlement requested Tue 24th Mar 2:02pm PST by chris[Admin]: test from main server
Suspended Fri 15th May 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'No' Sat 16th May 10:57pm PST by tisha[Admin]: No news of such by the suspend date.

Suspend date: Fri 15th May 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 16th May 10:57pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 15th May 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (156)

27 weeks ago
rhoan74 predicted No (H$85 at 99%)
27 weeks ago
bigken1 predicted No (H$20 at 99%)
28 weeks ago
richajer predicted No (H$100 at 99%)
29 weeks ago
keyeshoveden[Power User] predicted No (H$10,000 at 96%)
30 weeks ago
dingoh predicted No (H$5,555 at 94%)

Comments (16)

  1 markov
This is a way cool informative question! I remember speculation about this when I was in school. If someone can prove it I'll bet they get a Nobel prize. True "Global Warming".
posted 1 year ago
  2 skipper
plug goes where? ;)
posted 1 year ago
Hey Mork, cool question.

The link you provided: http://tinyurl.com/6mtbjh is a link back to this question
posted 1 year ago
Great Question! Thanks for the link....I'm in, and I'm reading...
posted 1 year ago
thanks for the link, mork!
posted 1 year ago
without the link, i almost wondered aloud "WTF?", but this is another one of those informative questions, regardless of outcome, that i wish we had more of.... and that i wish i could provide more of....KUDOS to skipper... i'll buy the first round!
posted 1 year ago
oops...."Kudos to Mork...i'll buy the first round!" (sorry, mork, looked at bets...new format has me all screwy)
posted 1 year ago
  9 markov
tocm -

New format messed me up, too. Almost made the same mistake.
posted 1 year ago
  10 skipper
:(
/me wants Kudos!
posted 1 year ago
  11 mork[Power User]
I have been alerted that this question should be clarified.

It seems the title of the article I used as a basis of this question (http://www.nature.com/news/2008/080515/full/news.2008.822.html?s=news_rss) is not accurately referring to the true question at hand.

The article refers to the mantle as being a possible source of nuclear activity. As the creator of this question I should have included the mantle as a possible source leading to an outcome of 'yes' in order to accurately pose the question I meant to ask.

Thanks Rogerkni for recognizing this and rightfully flagging this question.

I am going to add the word 'mantle' to the question now.

If anybody's wager was made in error because of this confusion, please let us know.

Apologies,
posted 1 year ago
  12 tisha[Admin]
The question title has now been amended from the Earth's core to the Earth's mantle.

If you feel that this has significantly changed your prediction, feel free to send me an email by flagging this question.
posted 1 year ago
  13 rogerkni
Hi: I'm posting this here rather than clicking "flag for review" because it has become inactive (unclickable)--this is a possible system bug that should be fixed. I've noticed it elsewhere, after I made use of the feature by clicking it. My suggestion was that the words "or mantle" be appended to the question. IOW, both core and mantle should count. (Maybe "far underground" would do instead.) Any sort of concentrated mass or masses of uranium deep beneath our feet would be a major discovery, and we shouldn't split hairs about how deep it or they are located.
posted 1 year ago
@ rogerkni -- unfortunately, a flag can currently only be used once.
After that, you can add a comment here, or by using the "Contact Us" link (located at the bottom of every page), and ask that your message be forwarded to the appropriate category editor.

(I have flagged this question for you, so there ought to be a response shortly.)
posted 1 year ago
  15 tisha[Admin]
Ok thansk rogerkni, I can see that this was the intention of your original flag. Question has been edited to 'core or mantle'
posted 1 year ago
  16 mork[Power User]
Here is a link to the full article from the background:http://www.geoneutrino.nl/Publications/Nature%20news-15May-2008.pdf
posted 38 weeks ago

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Are there nuclear reactors at Earth's core? .

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