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Will George W. Bush's approval rating reach single digits before he leaves office?

Current forecast: 9% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 9% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

George W. Bush's overall job approval is, as of April 2008, at 22% in a 'approve/disapprove/undecided' style poll. Will he dip below 10% before he leaves office?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
9%
No
91%
Activity: H$4,080
Question suspends in 8 weeks

Suspend date: Tue 20th Jan 2009 11:59pm PST (8 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 10%

Action history:

Created Thu 15th May 9:26pm PDT by zaratustra

Suspend date: Tue 20th Jan 2009 11:59pm PST (8 weeks to go)
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Predictions (21)

21 predictions

5 days ago
andrewpmk predicted No (H$5 at 91%)
2 weeks ago
broncogregg predicted No (H$100 at 91%)
6 weeks ago
youbet predicted Yes (H$50 at 9%)
20 weeks ago
jamest predicted No (H$100 at 91%)
23 weeks ago
bearguy predicted No (H$100 at 91%)
more

Comments (4)

7500 get.
posted 27 weeks ago
  2 bcguelph
it should
posted 27 weeks ago
  3 kbear
another question would be will his continue to stay higher than the approval rating of the legislature?
posted 12 weeks ago

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