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Will Karl Rove testify before the House Judiciary Committee?

Current forecast: 7% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 7% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
7%
No
93%
Activity: H$50,029
Question suspends in 1 week

Suspend date: Sun 30th Nov 11:59pm PST (1 week to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Thu 15th May 11:21pm PDT by deelilley
Settlement requested Mon 26th May 1:55pm PDT by Erik: Sorry, not a request for settlement, but this has already been flagged, so I couldn't. Please respond to the comment: Soooo this means he must testify before December 2008 for "Yes"...correct?

Suspend date: Sun 30th Nov 11:59pm PST (1 week to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (78)

78 predictions

11 hours ago
capecodviking predicted Yes (H$2 at 7%)
20 hours ago
tarpash predicted No (H$10,000 at 92%)
5 days ago
crowe predicted No (H$500 at 86%)
1 week ago
tarpash predicted No (H$3,000 at 85%)
1 week ago
davecade predicted Yes (H$20 at 16%)
more

Comments (11)

  1 Erik
Is this asking if Rove will testify before your suspend date of July 15th or, will he testify ever? (at anytime in the future about anything)
posted 27 weeks ago
  2 deelilley
Oh, shoot. Um. I had thought that by July there would be a yes or no answer to this one, but maybe not. But yes. I'm asking if he'll testify to *anything*, and yes, by the suspend date.
I'll flag it for clarification. December, perhaps?
"Conyers said the committee wants Rove to testify about his role in the imprisonment of former Alabama Gov. Don Siegelman, among other things.
“We want him for so many things, it’s hard to keep track,” Conyers said."
posted 26 weeks ago
  3 Erik
Perhaps specify "this session of Congress"...just a sugestion
posted 26 weeks ago
  4 deelilley
That could get tricky-)
I guess the odds should have been different for July; (luckily) I don't haff teh power to change the question. Either my flag was ignored, or Ryan is on hols..
posted 26 weeks ago
  5 Erik
"By the suspend" date works for me.
posted 26 weeks ago
  6 deelilley
Ok by me, too :)
posted 26 weeks ago
  7 ryanj[Admin]
Hi deelilley,

I'd sent you an email, but I guess it wasn't delivered. I will be changing the market end date to the start of December, as that should be sufficient time for the market to run its course.

PS: I'm never on holidays, I don't even sleep! Holidays are for fools....

Regards,

Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
posted 26 weeks ago
  8 Erik
Soooo this means he must testify before December 2008 for "Yes"...correct?
posted 25 weeks ago
  9 Erik
A response please, in re: the settlement question?
posted 25 weeks ago
  10 ryanj[Admin]
Hi Erik,

Yes that is correct. Rove must testify before December 2008 for the market to settle as a yes.

Regards,

Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
posted 25 weeks ago
  11 Erik
Thx, Ryan
posted 25 weeks ago

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