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Will double amputee Oscar Pistorius compete in the Beijing Olympics?

Settled as Pistorius won't be on the South African team

Double-amputee sprinter Oscar Pistorius won his appeal Friday and can compete for a place in the Beijing Olympics.

The Court of Arbitration for Sport ruled that the 21-year-old South African is eligible to race against able-bodied athletes, overturning a ban imposed by the International Association of Athletics Federations.

Pistorius still must reach a qualifying time to run in the individual 400 meters at the Aug. 8-24 Beijing Games. However, he can be picked for the South African relay squad without qualifying.

http://nbcsports.msnbc.com/id/24665015/
 
Forecast history, %
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Settled

Pistorius will qualify for the 400 m. Olympic race
2%
Pistorius will only be on the relay team
10%
Pistorius won't be on the South African team
88%
Activity: H$18,877
Settled as Pistorius won't be on the South African team on Fri 18th Jul 10:16am PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Fri 1st Aug 4:59pm PDT

Settlement date: Fri 18th Jul 10:16am PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 18th Jul 8:30am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Pistorius will qualify for the 400 m. Olympic race: 15%, Pistorius will only be on the relay team: 50%, Pistorius won't be on the South African team: 35%

Action history:

Created Fri 16th May 6:28am PDT by bayoubear[Admin]
Settlement requested Fri 18th Jul 9:56am PDT by orlin: "Pistorius won't be on the South African team"

http://www.reuters.com/article/olympicsNews/idUSL1849034520080718
Settlement requested Fri 18th Jul 10:09am PDT by bout3fitty: http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2008/07/18/sports/main4270867.shtml
Settled as 'Pistorius won't be on the South African team' Fri 18th Jul 10:16am PDT by donal[Admin]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (28)

28 predictions

6 weeks ago
keyeshoveden predicted Pistorius won't be on the South African team (H$1,000 at 50%)
6 weeks ago
bigken1 predicted Pistorius won't be on the South African team (H$100 at 45%)
6 weeks ago
triathematician predicted Pistorius won't be on the South African team (H$600 at 41%)
6 weeks ago
triathematician predicted Pistorius will only be on the relay team (H$600 at 47%)
7 weeks ago
bout3fitty predicted Pistorius won't be on the South African team (H$546 at 38%)
more

Comments (3)

If Oscar Pistorius is on both the SA relay team, and qualifies for the individual 400m, how will this question be settled?
posted 15 weeks ago
  2 donal[Admin]
I have added the word "only" to the second option. I think that makes the outcomes exhaustive and mutually exclusive or am I missing anything?
posted 14 weeks ago
  3 bayoubear[Admin]
Thanks for the fix...and don't cut your hair....
posted 14 weeks ago

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