China or Myanmar, which will have the highest estimated death toll by May 30th?

All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Thu 29th May 4:59pm PDT

Settlement date: Sun 1st Jun 1:12pm PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 29th May 4:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: China: 40%, Myanmar: 60%

Action history:

Created Sat 17th May 8:17am PDT by jaspersoddity

Suspended Thu 29th May 4:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Sun 1st Jun 6:40am PDT by crowe: Myanmar has highest estimated death toll:

China = 69,016
http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/china/2008-06/01/content_6726218.htm

Myanmar = 78,000
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2008/may/31/burma.usa

Settled as 'Myanmar' Sun 1st Jun 1:12pm PDT by lesley: See settlement request for details

All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all