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When will Toronto's 'Big Brown Mountain' finish melting?

Settled as August or later

Toronto had allot of snow last winter and we had to pile it somewhere...
Get your predictions in! This questions will suspend before it will settle.
We apologize for the mess. It's a S.o.b.

Follow it here:
http://www.blogto.com/environment/2008/05/contest_update_has_the_big_brown_mountain_melted_yet/
 
% chance over time
   Zoom in

Settled

before June 15
1%
Between June 16 and June 30
1%
Between Canada Day and July 15
1%
Between July 16 and July 31
5%
August or later
92%
Activity: H$23,001
Settled as August or later on Fri 1st Aug 10:54pm PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Thu 31st Jul 11:59pm PDT

Settlement date: Fri 1st Aug 10:54pm PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Jul 11:59pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: before June 15: 20%, Between June 16 and June 30: 20%, Between Canada Day and July 15: 20%, Between July 16 and July 31: 20%, August or later: 20%

Action history:

Created Sat 17th May 10:37pm PDT by mork[Power User]
Suspended Mon 2nd Jun 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Unsuspended Fri 13th Jun 10:20am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: Market suspend date moved to fit parameters of market question
Settlement requested Thu 31st Jul 11:40pm PDT by thegodfather: it is now august
Suspended Thu 31st Jul 11:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions

2 weeks ago
fourgrays predicted August or later (H$50 at 92%)
3 weeks ago
kruijs[Power User] predicted August or later (H$1,000 at 91%)
3 weeks ago
unisus34 predicted August or later (H$50 at 90%)
3 weeks ago
thegodfather predicted August or later (H$5,000 at 78%)
3 weeks ago
rbrog77 predicted August or later (H$20 at 66%)
more

Comments

  1 ryanb37
That will never melt this tear unless you have a Massive heat wave in canada and thats not likley
posted 13 weeks ago
Mork, can you help me with settlement? Per the pix it already looks like a pile of dirt and trash, what will determine that all of the snow is gone, after a few days with no more apparent shrinkage? It seems unlikely that it would become a news story that it was no longer getting smaller.
posted 13 weeks ago
  3 mork[Power User]
@ryan - I'm glad to see your put your hub money where your mouth is...impressive...

@valornhonot - The outward appearance of the pile is a little misleading. As it melts the surface becomes more concentrated with the debris included in the pile. These items initially absorb the suns radiant heat better than the snow and encourages melting. Now that the surface is saturated with debris I wonder if it may be working more as an insulator of the underlying ice and snow.

I am relying on that blogto.com (the linked website) to determine when the pile is finished melting. I assume they will declare it melted when it stops producing water.

There was some debate on whether or not the city should remove the pile and a decision was made to leave it as it is, basically due to lack of desire to spend the money.

Obviously the city workers will be disturbing it somewhat as indicated by the trash bins but I expect it to have a minimal impact. They will likely let it melt and and retrieve the larger debris items as they appear. Any Canadian will tell you that trying to disturb a pile of ice/rock is usually given up on within a moment or two.
posted 13 weeks ago
  4 mork[Power User]
@ryan - I hope you're wrong... Next years question might have to be: When will Toronto be overtaken by the big brown mountain?
posted 13 weeks ago
  5 ryanb37
Hahahah yeah could be for the sake of toronto i hope it does melt After aug. of course
posted 13 weeks ago
  6 deelilley
Yuck. I wonder how much of that is salt?
@mork, I'm in Ontario, too :)
posted 13 weeks ago
  7 owl1
I can't believe they named it after that horse.
posted 13 weeks ago
  8 mork[Power User]
The scariest part is what happens to the blue car.
posted 12 weeks ago
  9 mork[Power User]
Contest Update: The Big Brown Mountain Lives On
http://www.blogto.com/environment/2008/06/contest_update_the_big_brown_mountain_lives_on/
posted 9 weeks ago
  10 ryanb37
so any update its augest now so it should settle as augest or later
posted 2 weeks ago

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