When will Morgan Tsvangirai return to Zimbabwe?
Settled as Tsvangirai returns between May 21 & May 24
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/7418124.stm
Background:
Opposition leader Morgan Tsvangirai has postponed a return to Zimbabwe because of concerns about a plot to kill him.
"We have received information from a credible source concerning a planned assassination attempt," his spokesman George Sibotshiwe said.
Mr Tsvangirai was set to return to campaign for a run-off presidential election against Robert Mugabe, which the electoral commission has set for 27 June.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/7406172.stm
So when will he return to his country?
When will Morgan Tsvangirai return to Zimbabwe?
Tsvangirai returns by May 20
Tsvangirai returns between May 21 & May 24
Tsvangirai returns between May 25 & May 31
Tsvangirai returns between June 1 & June 15
Tsvangirai returns between June 16 & June 27
Tsvangirai does not return for any reason
Forecast history, %
Settled
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Tsvangirai returns by May 20 |
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Tsvangirai returns between May 21 & May 24 |
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Tsvangirai returns between May 25 & May 31 |
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Tsvangirai returns between June 1 & June 15 |
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Tsvangirai returns between June 16 & June 27 |
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Tsvangirai does not return for any reason |
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Activity: H$1,019
Settled as
Tsvangirai returns between May 21 & May 24 on Sat 24th May 11:49am PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Suspend date: Sat 28th Jun 12:59am PDT
Settlement date: Sat 24th May 11:49am PDT
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 24th May 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods:
Tsvangirai returns by May 20: 15%, Tsvangirai returns between May 21 & May 24: 20%, Tsvangirai returns between May 25 & May 31: 20%, Tsvangirai returns between June 1 & June 15: 15%, Tsvangirai returns between June 16 & June 27: 10%, Tsvangirai does not return for any reason : 20%
Action history:
Settled as ' Tsvangirai returns between May 21 & May 24' Sat 24th May 11:49am PDT by
lesley![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
:
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All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source....
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Predictions (11)
11 predictions
20 weeks ago
jank predicted
Tsvangirai returns between June 1 & June 15 (H$20 at 16%)
20 weeks ago
jank predicted
Tsvangirai does not return for any reason (H$20 at 20%)
20 weeks ago
jank predicted
Tsvangirai returns between June 16 & June 27 (H$20 at 11%)
20 weeks ago
myunion predicted
Tsvangirai does not return for any reason (H$5 at 22%)
20 weeks ago
jjmurray predicted
Tsvangirai returns between May 21 & May 24 (H$50 at 19%)
20 weeks ago
jank predicted
Tsvangirai returns between June 1 & June 15 (H$20 at 16%)
20 weeks ago
jank predicted
Tsvangirai does not return for any reason (H$20 at 20%)
20 weeks ago
jank predicted
Tsvangirai returns between June 16 & June 27 (H$20 at 11%)
20 weeks ago
myunion predicted
Tsvangirai does not return for any reason (H$5 at 22%)
20 weeks ago
jjmurray predicted
Tsvangirai returns between May 21 & May 24 (H$50 at 19%)
20 weeks ago
epicur predicted
Tsvangirai returns between June 16 & June 27 (H$90 at 10%)
20 weeks ago
epicur predicted
Tsvangirai returns between June 1 & June 15 (H$110 at 15%)
Showing recent public predictions only
lessComments (2)
bayoubear
onedave![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
: show details
Perhaps Tsvangirai and the Saudi minister will meet in front of the same employment agency in London. Friend bayou: the real question here is not on which of a scattering of dates Tsvangirai will return to Zimbabwe. The situation is very similar to Mrs. Bhutto of Pakistan, and the results could well be the same.
The real question here is whether Tsvangirai will return to Zimbabwe before or after the runoff election on June 27th. And you can be assured that he will not return at all if he does not win outright. If he does return, it should be in a popemobile, wearing Joan of Arc's armor...
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