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What will be the est. population of largest participating, non-medaling country @ Olympics?

Settled as > 50,000,000 population

Bangladesh participated in Olympics but did not medal. http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/AT/C73A/ATM001908.shtml#ATM001908
Population = 150,443,339 http://www.nbcolympics.com/countries/country=ban/index.html

Background:

Each Olympic games comes with a few surprises, there will likely be at least one sizable country that is expected to medal but does not.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

< 10,000,000 population
2%
10,000,000 - 25,000,000
3%
25,000,001 - 50,000,000
21%
> 50,000,000 population
74%
Activity: H$27,911
Settled as > 50,000,000 population on Sun 24th Aug 2:29pm PDT

Suspend date: Fri 8th Aug 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sun 24th Aug 2:29pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 8th Aug 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: < 10,000,000 population: 25%, 10,000,000 - 25,000,000: 25%, 25,000,001 - 50,000,000: 25%, > 50,000,000 population: 25%

Action history:

Created Sun 18th May 7:54am PDT by valornhonor[Power User]
Suspended Fri 8th Aug 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sun 24th Aug 2:22pm PDT by onedave[Power User]: Please settle as >50 million. Bangladesh participated in Olympics but did not medal. http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/AT/C73A/ATM001908.shtml#ATM001908
Population = 150,443,339 http://www.nbcolympics.com/countries/country=ban/index.html
Settled as '> 50,000,000 population' Sun 24th Aug 2:29pm PDT by mrperfkt[Admin]: Bangladesh participated in Olympics but did not medal. http://results.beijing2008.cn/WRM/ENG/INF/AT/C73A/ATM001908.shtml#ATM001908
Population = 150,443,339 http://www.nbcolympics.com/countries/country=ban/index.html

Suspend date: Fri 8th Aug 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sun 24th Aug 2:29pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 8th Aug 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (20)

20 predictions

15 weeks ago
cakie174 predicted 25,000,001 - 50,000,000 (H$1,000 at 10%)
15 weeks ago
valornhonor[Power User] predicted 25,000,001 - 50,000,000 (H$5 at 3%)
15 weeks ago
clarky predicted > 50,000,000 population (H$100 at 92%)
15 weeks ago
keyeshoveden predicted > 50,000,000 population (H$6,000 at 83%)
16 weeks ago
keyeshoveden predicted > 50,000,000 population (H$4,000 at 80%)
more

Comments (2)

When you think about it. Bangladesh has never won a medal, Pakistan have only won medals in field hockey but not for aa while.

posted 23 weeks ago
  2 onedave[Power User]
It looks like Bangladesh will not win a medal. According to wikipedia, their population is about 150 million.
posted 13 weeks ago

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