Home Hubdub logo
 
Guest account   Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's play money, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
My Predictions

Will the official death toll of the Chinese Earthquake exceed 50,000?

Settled as Yes

http://www.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/asiapcf/05/22/china.earthquake/

Background:

As reported on Sunday, May 18, 2008, the death toll attributed to the Chinese earthquake rose past 30,000 victims. The hunt for survivors has is shadowed by the country's need to deal with the dead. http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080515/ap_on_re_as/china_earthquake Chinese president Hu Jintao has flown into Sichuan province to lend support to earthquake victims as the country braced for a death toll that could soar past 50,000. http://ukpress.google.com/article/ALeqM5htXs4HTkSmxpXwsXNt5cEUcEVhxw


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
99%
No
1%
Activity: H$81,162
Settled as Yes on Thu 22nd May 10:41am PDT

Suspend date: Mon 30th Jun 4:59pm PDT Settlement date: Thu 22nd May 10:41am PDT

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 65%

Action history:

Created Sun 18th May 8:26am PDT by diana
Settlement requested Thu 22nd May 2:14am PDT by orlin: Reuters: 'State Council Information office figures showed that the number of dead now exceeded 51,000, an increase of 10,000 on the previous day's death toll.'

Answer is YES

http://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSWRI74404620080522
Settlement requested Thu 22nd May 7:26am PDT by orlin: CNN: 'China quake death toll soars past 50,000'

'BEIJING, China (CNN) -- The death toll from the devastating earthquake in southwestern China has leaped to 51,151 -- an increase of almost 10,000 -- government officials reported on Thursday.'

http://www.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/asiapcf/05/22/china.earthquake/index.html
Suspended Thu 22nd May 9:29am PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: see settlement request
Settlement requested Thu 22nd May 9:29am PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: Official toll has far exceeded 50,000 sadly.

http://www.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/asiapcf/05/22/china.earthquake/ (market suspended)
Previous action withdrawn Thu 22nd May 10:40am PDT by diana
Settled as 'Yes' Thu 22nd May 10:41am PDT by diana: http://www.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/asiapcf/05/22/china.earthquake/

Suspend date: Mon 30th Jun 4:59pm PDT Settlement date: Thu 22nd May 10:41am PDT
more info...

 

Predictions (72)

72 predictions

26 weeks ago
codfight predicted Yes (H$145 at 99%)
26 weeks ago
jerry predicted Yes (H$100 at 99%)
26 weeks ago
exilpat predicted No (H$20 at 1%)
26 weeks ago
constable1664 predicted Yes (H$100 at 77%)
26 weeks ago
cookietime predicted No (H$20 at 23%)
more

Comments (0)

No comments yet

Please log in or join to add a comment

What is Hubdub?

Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.

Join now   or   learn more