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Will there be another earthquake anywhere in the world where the death toll will cross 10,000?

Current forecast: 42% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 42% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Official suspend date - 31/12/2008
 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
42%
No
58%
Activity: H$3,603
Question suspends in 17 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (17 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 45%

Action history:

Created Mon 19th May 6:52am PDT by junkie_1
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions (20)

20 predictions

1 week ago
ranon predicted No (H$100 at 58%)
5 weeks ago
gingerboi predicted No (H$100 at 58%)
5 weeks ago
gingerboi predicted No (H$100 at 57%)
8 weeks ago
ampersand predicted No (H$200 at 57%)
8 weeks ago
bigken1 predicted No (H$4 at 57%)
more

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