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Horse Racing: How many opponents will Big Brown actually face in the Belmont Stakes?

Settled as 8 A Horse Race

Big Brown faced 19 opponents in the Kentucky Derby. In the Preakness he faced only 11. How many more will avoid him in the Belmont Stakes? The precise question is how many competitors will he face, not how many total horses will be in the Belmont. (Note the suspend time. Late scratches may affect your choice.)
 
% chance over time
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Settled

Zero Horses It's a Walkover
0%
1 It's a match race
0%
2 Small group
0%
3 A tiny field
0%
4 A larger field
0%
5 A slightly larger field
0%
6 A race
0%
7 A bigger race
6%
8 A Horse Race
87%
9 or more Horses -- A small Cavalary charge
6%
Activity: H$54,588
Settled as 8 A Horse Race on Sun 8th Jun 1:29am PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Sat 7th Jun 9am PDT

Settlement date: Sun 8th Jun 1:29am PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 7th Jun 9am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Zero Horses It's a Walkover: 2%, 1 It's a match race: 3%, 2 Small group: 5%, 3 A tiny field: 5%, 4 A larger field: 10%, 5 A slightly larger field: 10%, 6 A race: 10%, 7 A bigger race: 10%, 8 A Horse Race: 15%, 9 or more Horses -- A small Cavalary charge: 30%

Action history:

Created Mon 19th May 3:49pm PDT by buckeyetom
Suspended Sat 7th Jun 9am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sat 7th Jun 4:32pm PDT by orlin: 8

http://nbcsports.msnbc.com/id/25022909/
Settlement requested Sat 7th Jun 5:18pm PDT by buckeyetom: Big Brown faced 8 horses.
Settlement requested Sat 7th Jun 10pm PDT by jake: 8

http://www.horseswild.com/belmont/belmont-stakes-results-payouts.php
Settled as '8 A Horse Race' Sun 8th Jun 1:29am PDT by donal[Admin]
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 
6 weeks ago
curios predicted 7 A bigger race (H$50)
6 weeks ago
bigh165 predicted 9 or more Horses -- A small Cavalary charge (H$100)
6 weeks ago
curios predicted 9 or more Horses -- A small Cavalary charge (H$50)
6 weeks ago
bayoubear predicted 8 A Horse Race (H$100)
6 weeks ago
bayoubear predicted 8 A Horse Race (H$50)
6 weeks ago
benway predicted 9 or more Horses -- A small Cavalary charge (H$72)
6 weeks ago
greyrocker predicted 9 or more Horses -- A small Cavalary charge (H$1,000)
6 weeks ago
letmewinplees predicted 9 or more Horses -- A small Cavalary charge (H$20)
6 weeks ago
bobbyedwards predicted 9 or more Horses -- A small Cavalary charge (H$100)
6 weeks ago
bigh165 predicted 9 or more Horses -- A small Cavalary charge (H$500)

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