Background: Well in the spirit of how ridiculous questions are getting, I thought I would join in the insanity. So here it goes.
We are going to take the closing dow figure on wednesday, subtract from that number the closing nasdaq number for wednesday, then subtract the SP500 closing number for wednesday. After we have that result we are going to divide that remaining number by the percentage point advantage Obama has over Hillary in the National Gallup Daily tracking poll that is released on Thursday. We are going to take the result and multiply it by the number of runs scored in MLB on Wednesday. That result will then be divided by the highest temperature reached on Wednesday in Phoenix, Arizona in Farenheit. This result will then be divided by the number of votes recieved for the American Idol finale on Thursday night in millions (if 40 million, then result divided by 40). The resulting figure rounded to the nearest whole number and then subtracted from the number of google search results for the term "hubdub" at 11pm EST on Thursday. Finally each of the digits in the answer will be added together and you are wagering on whether the result will be an even or odd number.
For example Mondays close of dow, nasdaq, and sp500, the gallup difference of 13, runs scored 135(used the number for example), temp phoenix (used 100 for example), votes on idol (use 36million or 36), results of google search 90,000.
13028.16 - 2516.09 - 1426.63 = 9085.44 / 13 = 698.88 * 135 = 94348.8 / 100 = 943.488 / 36 = 26.208 rounds to 26 - 90000 = 89974 therefore 8+9+9+7+4 = 37 and odd would be your winner.
Settlement details:As calculated by the admin settling this questions.
Forecast history %
Settled as Odd on Fri 23rd May 2008 10:46am PST
Suspend date: Tue 20th May 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 23rd May 2008 10:46am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 20th May 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods:
Odd: 50%, Even: 50%
Action history:
Suspended Tue 20th May 2008 4:59am PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Tue 20th May 2008 4:59am PST : Suspend date reached
Unsuspended Tue 20th May 2008 1:45pm PST by
nigeleccles![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
:
Unsuspended at request of question creator
Suspended Tue 20th May 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Thu 22nd May 2008 7:03pm PST by
destry
:
Winning outcome is ODD. Math is in comment fields.
Suspend date: Tue 20th May 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 23rd May 2008 10:46am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 20th May 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details 
Predictions (41)
1 year ago
bcguelph
predicted
Even (H$50 at 49%)
1 year ago
bcguelph predicted
Even (H$100 at 48%)
1 year ago
owl1
predicted
Odd (H$20 at 53%)
1 year ago
benway
predicted
Odd (H$20 at 48%)
Comments (41)
Comments: 41
Get widget!
predicted Even (H$20 at 50%)
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
LMAO!!!
FANTASTIC question!
Playing "Scissors, Paper or Rock" - against myself. . .
Thanks,
Michael
Nasdaq = 2448.27 ( http://finance.google.com/finance?rls=ig&hl=en&tab=we )
S&P 500 = 1390.71 ( http://finance.google.com/finance?rls=ig&hl=en&tab=we )
High Temperature in Phoenix AZ = 94 ( http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/total_forecast/getprod.php?wfo=psr&pil=CLI&sid=PHX&version=0 )
Votes on IDOL = 97.5
That is what we know so far, if there is anyone who wishes to challenge any of those figures you have the next 24 hours to provide alternate data references, in accordance with Hubdub standard rules.
We will know the point difference of Obama Clinton tomorrow about 1pm, we will know the MLB runs total after last game played tonight and checked tomorrow on MLB.com, and then the final figure I will run a google search at 11 pm EST and post the results. Then a settlement request will be sent in. Any one seeing any flaws as of now let me know soon.
8901.21 / (Gallup Difference) = ??? * (MLB runs) 139 = ??? / (High Temp) 94 = ??? / (IDOL Votes) 97.5 = ??? Rounded and then - from (Google Search) = ??? then ?+?+? = Final number odd or even.
We are currently waiting for the difference from Gallup Daily Tracking which will be posted at 1pm, then that number will be plugged into above formula, and then at 11pm EST a search for term "hubdub" will be done, the rounded number will be subtracted from that search result number, each digit of the answer will be added together and final answer will be either your winning odd or even number.
Math updated = 8901.21 / (Gallup Difference) 11 = 809.201 * (MLB runs) 139 = 112478.939
112478.939 / (high temp) 94 = 1196.584 / (Idol Votes) 97.5 = 12.272 ~ rounded to 12.
(Google Search Results) ??? - 12 = ????? then we will add each digit in answer and answer will be either odd or even.
Google Search results will be performed at 11pm EST tonight. If anyone sees a flaw in the math please bring to my attention as soon as possible. I think I have it right, will of course double check and triple check everything before sending question in to be settled.
Very informative.
Flips coin again... lol
1+1+0+9+8+8 = 27. The winning answer is ODD....
For those of you that enjoyed this question, I am creating yet another wild market in which the settlement will be equally as labor intensive. I hope to add some additional fun to next question. I am glad this one is done. Congratulations to those who flipped the right result and to the others who didn't maybe next time try a 2 out of 3 approach on your coin flipping.
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