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Wildcard - Odd or Even

Settled as Odd

Background: Well in the spirit of how ridiculous questions are getting, I thought I would join in the insanity. So here it goes. We are going to take the closing dow figure on wednesday, subtract from that number the closing nasdaq number for wednesday, then subtract the SP500 closing number for wednesday. After we have that result we are going to divide that remaining number by the percentage point advantage Obama has over Hillary in the National Gallup Daily tracking poll that is released on Thursday. We are going to take the result and multiply it by the number of runs scored in MLB on Wednesday. That result will then be divided by the highest temperature reached on Wednesday in Phoenix, Arizona in Farenheit. This result will then be divided by the number of votes recieved for the American Idol finale on Thursday night in millions (if 40 million, then result divided by 40). The resulting figure rounded to the nearest whole number and then subtracted from the number of google search results for the term "hubdub" at 11pm EST on Thursday. Finally each of the digits in the answer will be added together and you are wagering on whether the result will be an even or odd number. For example Mondays close of dow, nasdaq, and sp500, the gallup difference of 13, runs scored 135(used the number for example), temp phoenix (used 100 for example), votes on idol (use 36million or 36), results of google search 90,000. 13028.16 - 2516.09 - 1426.63 = 9085.44 / 13 = 698.88 * 135 = 94348.8 / 100 = 943.488 / 36 = 26.208 rounds to 26 - 90000 = 89974 therefore 8+9+9+7+4 = 37 and odd would be your winner.

Settlement details:As calculated by the admin settling this questions.

 
Forecast history %
Odd
50%
Even
50%
Settled as Odd on Fri 23rd May 2008 10:46am PST

Suspend date: Tue 20th May 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 23rd May 2008 10:46am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 20th May 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Odd: 50%, Even: 50%

Action history:

Created Mon 19th May 2008 5:54pm PST by destry[Admin]
Suspended Tue 20th May 2008 4:59am PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Tue 20th May 2008 4:59am PST : Suspend date reached
Unsuspended Tue 20th May 2008 1:44pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]
Unsuspended Tue 20th May 2008 1:45pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]: Unsuspended at request of question creator
Suspended Tue 20th May 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Thu 22nd May 2008 7:03pm PST by destry[Admin]: Winning outcome is ODD. Math is in comment fields.
Settled as 'Odd' Fri 23rd May 2008 10:46am PST by nigeleccles[Admin]

Suspend date: Tue 20th May 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 23rd May 2008 10:46am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 20th May 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (41)

1 year ago
brieeyeball predicted Even (H$20 at 50%)
1 year ago
bcguelph predicted Even (H$50 at 49%)
1 year ago
bcguelph predicted Even (H$100 at 48%)
1 year ago
owl1 predicted Odd (H$20 at 53%)
1 year ago
benway predicted Odd (H$20 at 48%)

Comments (41)

  1 destry[Admin]
This question was written for those of you that like creativity that doesn't relate to predicting news, but uses the news as a factor in the answer.
posted 1 year ago
  2 skipper
Nominating for craziest hubdub question ever!
posted 1 year ago
@ destry, I love this question! Great work.
posted 1 year ago

LMAO!!!

posted 1 year ago
I just made a prediction to watch how you do the settlement on this one!!!! Great question!
posted 1 year ago
Why didn't I think of this first!!!!!!!!!!

FANTASTIC question!
posted 1 year ago
  7 bcguelph
This is easy. Obviously it is going to be EVEN. Just do the math people!
posted 1 year ago
  8 crudsy
destry...u have surpassed ur greatest greatnes...this is the best question ive ever seen here...actually using MULTIPLE news events to create a random question...as those 2 guys say in that commercial for guiness i think...BRILLIANT!!
posted 1 year ago
  9 bcguelph
Go figure. I say that the question will obviously be settle EVEN, and someone lays $1000 on ODD. Fool.
posted 1 year ago
  10 mork[Power User]
what fof said
posted 1 year ago
  11 bcguelph
ODD? Why would you bet ODD. It is clearly going to be settled EVEN.
posted 1 year ago
I work in PHX... this Wednesday I'll be watching the thermometer all day long =D
posted 1 year ago
  13 destry[Admin]
I am glad to see others enjoy the craziness.
posted 1 year ago
  14 hubdubbob
And just think... if you risked enough H$, you could wager the same amount on both, and actually lose. LOL
posted 1 year ago
  15 bcguelph
Huh?
posted 1 year ago
  16 mork[Power User]
It`s hurting my head
posted 1 year ago
  17 bcguelph
me too
posted 1 year ago
  18 mork[Power User]
I`m going to build a tin-foil hat.
posted 1 year ago
  19 owl1
I'm in Phx too, This is a very odd question. No even. No I mean odd. Even.
posted 1 year ago
Technically, this question is in breach of the rules as it depends on a Google search number (which can depend on who conducts the search). However I think we should let it run. Destry, I assume you are going to exclude yourself from making predictions and provide us with the final answer?
posted 1 year ago
  21 destry[Admin]
I feel that removing myself from wagering on this is unnecessary as all numbers are public record, and the question suspends before any of the numbers are known. I don't wager on these types of questions anyway, I prefer to predict the outcome of news, just wanted to write one of these questions for the kicks and giggles.
posted 1 year ago
  22 mrperfkt[Admin]
Thanks for joining the insanity. After several hours of research and analysis...flips a coin and....
posted 1 year ago
  23 chatarra
Based upon this question, I am using a new way to make accurate predictions based on solid scientific theory.

Playing "Scissors, Paper or Rock" - against myself. . .
posted 1 year ago
  24 buckeyetom
Attention All Parents: This is the reason why it is so important to provide your children with a proper drug education. You now have living proof of how a beautiful mind can be wasted. The sentence structures in the presented question are improperly organized. There are run on sentences. Incomplete mathmatical theories are revealed to our youth. It is an example of cranial chaos. Remember to do your job parents...We don't want Destry to Ride Again!..........Other than that it was funny as heck. Good job. And quit bashing stupid people like me. It made me cry.

posted 1 year ago
I ALMOST like this question....and the clarification is superb... a bottle or two i might have bet on it, and a bottle or two from now, i might bet on it... cudos, i guess.... the best question research since infernal's: http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/NHL_Playoffs__Hubdub_Fantasy_League__Which_team_will_win_6307

Thanks,
Michael
posted 1 year ago
I wish the admins much fun on calculating the result ;) Looking forward to see the settlement :D
posted 1 year ago
  27 mrperfkt[Admin]
Okay, Destry, where's our daily update?!
posted 1 year ago
  28 destry[Admin]
I was just getting ready to post the numbers we know so far.
posted 1 year ago
  29 destry[Admin]
Dow close = 12601.19 ( http://finance.google.com/finance?rls=ig&hl=en&tab=we )
Nasdaq = 2448.27 ( http://finance.google.com/finance?rls=ig&hl=en&tab=we )
S&P 500 = 1390.71 ( http://finance.google.com/finance?rls=ig&hl=en&tab=we )
High Temperature in Phoenix AZ = 94 ( http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/total_forecast/getprod.php?wfo=psr&pil=CLI&sid=PHX&version=0 )
Votes on IDOL = 97.5

That is what we know so far, if there is anyone who wishes to challenge any of those figures you have the next 24 hours to provide alternate data references, in accordance with Hubdub standard rules.

We will know the point difference of Obama Clinton tomorrow about 1pm, we will know the MLB runs total after last game played tonight and checked tomorrow on MLB.com, and then the final figure I will run a google search at 11 pm EST and post the results. Then a settlement request will be sent in. Any one seeing any flaws as of now let me know soon.
posted 1 year ago
  30 destry[Admin]
Runs scored in MLB = 139.
posted 1 year ago
  31 destry[Admin]
(DOW)12601.19 - (Nasdaq)2448.27 = 10291.92 - (S&P500) 1390.71 = 8901.21

8901.21 / (Gallup Difference) = ??? * (MLB runs) 139 = ??? / (High Temp) 94 = ??? / (IDOL Votes) 97.5 = ??? Rounded and then - from (Google Search) = ??? then ?+?+? = Final number odd or even.

We are currently waiting for the difference from Gallup Daily Tracking which will be posted at 1pm, then that number will be plugged into above formula, and then at 11pm EST a search for term "hubdub" will be done, the rounded number will be subtracted from that search result number, each digit of the answer will be added together and final answer will be either your winning odd or even number.
posted 1 year ago
  32 destry[Admin]
Gallup Daily has Obama at 53 - Clinton at 42. 11 point difference.

Math updated = 8901.21 / (Gallup Difference) 11 = 809.201 * (MLB runs) 139 = 112478.939

112478.939 / (high temp) 94 = 1196.584 / (Idol Votes) 97.5 = 12.272 ~ rounded to 12.

(Google Search Results) ??? - 12 = ????? then we will add each digit in answer and answer will be either odd or even.

Google Search results will be performed at 11pm EST tonight. If anyone sees a flaw in the math please bring to my attention as soon as possible. I think I have it right, will of course double check and triple check everything before sending question in to be settled.
posted 1 year ago
  33 hubdubbob
Okay, tell the truth now. How many of you have been searching "hubdub" on Google since destry's last comment above? LOL
posted 1 year ago
  34 destry[Admin]
now now... patience.... talk about a question that took some time to settle... what a pain.... all that to be decided no better than a coin toss.... lol
posted 1 year ago
  35 skipper
I have checked all of destry's math so far, and it is ace!
posted 1 year ago
  36 mrperfkt[Admin]
Thanks for all of the updates and date, Destry.
Very informative.

Flips coin again... lol
posted 1 year ago
  37 destry[Admin]
I am conceiving a new and equally unique question.
posted 1 year ago
  38 destry[Admin]
Okay we are finally able to find out the correct answer. I searched "Hubdub" on google with the safe search feature off, and got 111,000 results. Therefore I am going to take 111,000 - (rounded result) 12 = 110988
1+1+0+9+8+8 = 27. The winning answer is ODD....

For those of you that enjoyed this question, I am creating yet another wild market in which the settlement will be equally as labor intensive. I hope to add some additional fun to next question. I am glad this one is done. Congratulations to those who flipped the right result and to the others who didn't maybe next time try a 2 out of 3 approach on your coin flipping.
posted 1 year ago
  39 crudsy
great..maybe something with wind chill, an ebay auction total of..lets say ufo pictures but u have to make sure they r real because if the seller has any doubt then its not valid and a spitzer sprinkle with a dash of how many hubdub questions will be settled both yes and no..i really love those..:)..keep up the good work
posted 1 year ago
best question ever... in the history of Hubdub!
posted 45 weeks ago
Sweet.
posted 41 weeks ago

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