Created Mon 19th May 8:36pm PDT by
fingers_of_fury
All questions » Politics » Other » Senator Kennedy - How Will He Exit the Hospital Doors?
Settled as He Exits With No Assistance - Hurray!
Media vigil continues at Mass. General for Senator Kennedy
"More than 50 reporters and photographers kept their eyes and cameras trained today on Massachusetts General Hospital, keeping vigil as the nation waited for any update on the condition of Senator Edward M. Kennedy."
http://www.boston.com/news/local/breaking_news/2008/05/media_vigil_con.html
Settled
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He Exits With No Assistance - Hurray! |
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He Exits Using Crutches |
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He Exits Assisted by Others for Physical Support |
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He Exits in a Wheelchair |
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He Exits on a Stretcher |
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Other |
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Activity: H$35,694
Settled as He Exits With No Assistance - Hurray! on Wed 21st May 10:36am PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Suspend date: Tue 27th May 1:59am PDT
Settlement date: Wed 21st May 10:36am PDT
Initial likelihoods:
He Exits With No Assistance - Hurray!: 41%, He Exits Using Crutches: 9%, He Exits Assisted by Others for Physical Support: 30%, He Exits in a Wheelchair: 1%, He Exits on a Stretcher: 1%, Other: 18%
Action history:
Created Mon 19th May 8:36pm PDT by
fingers_of_fury
Clarified Wed 21st May 4:22am PDT by
ryanj
: No real need for clarification but if anyones confused if Kennedy doesn't leave the market would be settled as other
Settlement requested Wed 21st May 8:06am PDT by
jenniandboys
: It seems he walked?
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/24755896/
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/24755896/
Settlement requested Wed 21st May 8:27am PDT by
noah_reason: Picture of him walking out of the hospital on the Wall Street Journel website
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121137904993110615.html?mod=googlenews_wsj
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121137904993110615.html?mod=googlenews_wsj
Settlement requested Wed 21st May 8:29am PDT by
jake: He walked out of the hospital.
http://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id=D90Q30OG1&show_article=1
http://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id=D90Q30OG1&show_article=1
Settlement requested Wed 21st May 9:03am PDT by
Erik: "The 76-year-old Kennedy waved to a crowd of well-wishers and gave a thumbs-up as he walked out of Massachusetts General Hospital amid heavy security. His dogs greeted him at the hospital door."
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080521/ap_on_go_co/kennedy_124
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080521/ap_on_go_co/kennedy_124
Settlement requested Wed 21st May 9:48am PDT by
gingerboi: "walked" that's a whopping hint... isn't it... for exanple, it might suggested he walked. Something like that. But's it's Friday Happy Hour in Ireland! HI GUYS!
Settlement requested Wed 21st May 9:52am PDT by
gingerboi: well...Wednesay.. whatever.. anyday anyhour is Happy Hour in a garage in Edinburgh..
Settled as 'He Exits With No Assistance - Hurray!' Wed 21st May 10:36am PDT by
ryanj
: http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080521/ap_on_go_co/kennedy_124
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all
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Massachusetts Senator Edward Kennedy has been diagnosed with a malignant brain tumour.. . Mr Kennedy, the brother of assassinated President John F ...
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@ f_o_f... nicely composed, much better than the mess I created with my question that I thought was very straight forward but lent itself to so many interpretations.
The "Other" would include none of the above or something like the wheel chair stopping halfway through the door and he stands up to walk.
@valornhonor - Thank you... I hope your question works itself out ok.
http://www.cnn.com/
Okay, while we're on morbid thoughts.... what if he does die and donates his organs? Does that count as "exiting the hospital" because that could be in many different forms.
Now we have a more serious condition than we anticipated and possibly a longer stay in hospital. Other than that, what has changed? A transfer to another hospital will probably be by either stretcher or wheelchair, depending on policy and seriousness at the time. Body bag goes by stretcher to the morgue or "other" to a funeral home. Organ donation doesn't leave the hospital, and the question could either be settled as other or void.
Fingers, do you have any clarifications for us? It's your question, and your opinion should be final on when and how we might settle this question...Feel free to clarify or change anything that any of us have said...thanks!
If, God forbid, he doesn't recover and leaves in a body bag, that would most likely be on a stretcher, also called a gurney: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gurney When I included the option for stretcher, I never dreamed it was much of a possibility, but now his fight with cancer makes it more likely.
I will flag the question and request help/advice/editing from Admin. I haven't wagered yet, but I think it would be wise to let Admin make the decision to avoid any appearances of "conflict of interest" on my part.
Dear Admin,
I created this question before news broke that Sen. Edward Kennedy has cancerous brain tumor: http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080520/ap_on_go_co/kennedy
At time of question creation, it seemed he would leave the hospital within a week, so I set the question to suspend within one week.
Users would like to know what happens now? Do we extend the suspend date? If we don't extend it, does it settle as 'Other' if he is still in the hospital at suspend date? There is also the Void option, but since I included the stretcher option and the "OTHER" option, I am hopeful that the question can be salvaged by some minor edits and/or clarification.
I haven't wagered on this question yet, but I would appreciate your input/advice/decision to avoid the appearance of any conflict of interest on my part.
Thank you for your time and consideration,
Fingers
I know people aren't going to like my decision but although I want to be flexible with markets. Clarifying in the middle of a market always creates problems, because people interpret markets differently. So we need things as clear cut as possible. And I'm trying to stop clarifying in the middle of a market, it's hard to always do but in the end it creates less confusion.
For this market I'm not voiding because there is no reason to. But if Kennedy doesn't leave by the suspend date and seeing as no end date was given the market would settle as other. This is what the markets asking, and the other category is in the market for just this type of scenario. So no clarification is needed, if something else happens that isn't listed (Kennedy doesn't leave) the market settles as other.
Regards,
Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
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