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What Price Will The 3G iPhone Sell At?

Settled as About $200

http://news.digitaltrends.com/news-article/16949/apple-touts-iphone-3g-iphone-apps-at-wwdc

The Iphone will sell for $199 (8GB version)

Background:

Apple is widely expected to launch the 3G iPhone this summer and the current forecast is for it to happen in June. Fortune is reporting:

When the 3G iPhone is introduced this summer, AT&T, the exclusive U.S. iPhone sales partner with Apple, will cut the price by as much as $200, according to a person familiar with the strategy.

AT&T is preparing to subsidize $200 of the cost of a new iPhone, bringing the price down to $199 for customers who sign two-year contracts, the source says. Apple is expected to have two versions of the new iPhone, an 8-gigabyte-memory and a 16-gigabyte-memory model with price tags widely expected to be $399 and $499.


This question will be settled as the price for the lower spec 3G iPhone (8-gigabyte or otherwise) with AT&T 2-year subsidy at launch.


Settlement details: This question will be settled as the outcome closest to the price for the lower spec 3G iPhone (8-gigabyte or otherwise) with AT&T 2-year subsidy at launch.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

About $100
3%
About $200
33%
About $300
46%
About $400
15%
About $500
3%
Activity: H$5,600
Settled as About $200 on Mon 9th Jun 3:42pm PDT

Suspend date: Mon 9th Jun 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Mon 9th Jun 3:42pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 9th Jun 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: About $100: 5%, About $200: 50%, About $300: 30%, About $400: 10%, About $500: 5%

Action history:

Created Tue 20th May 2:21am PDT by punditwatch[Admin]
Clarified Tue 20th May 3:31am PDT by nigeleccles[Admin]: If the price is exactly at the mid-point (e.g. $150) we will round up.
Suspended Mon 9th Jun 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'About $200' Mon 9th Jun 3:42pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]: http://news.digitaltrends.com/news-article/16949/apple-touts-iphone-3g-iphone-apps-at-wwdc

The Iphone will sell for $199 (8GB version)

Suspend date: Mon 9th Jun 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Mon 9th Jun 3:42pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 9th Jun 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (60)

60 predictions

23 weeks ago
lucidstates predicted About $200 (H$100 at 33%)
23 weeks ago
iheartartoo predicted About $200 (H$100 at 28%)
23 weeks ago
valornhonor[Power User] predicted About $300 (H$50 at 53%)
23 weeks ago
tkohler predicted About $300 (H$100 at 52%)
23 weeks ago
lucidstates predicted About $300 (H$500 at 49%)
more

Comments (3)

  1 gregmatta
Needs more specific pricing range.
posted 26 weeks ago
We will settle at the outcome that is closest to the actual price (as per the settlement details)
posted 24 weeks ago
I loooove this Q and I really like the Settlement details, I think it works great :-D THanks pundit and Nigel!
posted 23 weeks ago

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