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Will Yahoo And Microsoft Announce A Search Deal By End Of May?

Settled as No

Background: TechCrunch is reporting:

More details are emerging on round 2 of Yahoo/Microsoft: Instead of a simple straight up acquisition, Microsoft may be able to pull off a deal where they get to pick off just what they want - search - and leave the rest of Yahoo and it’s troubles behind.

This is a deal that would obviously cost Microsoft much less than a $40+ billion full buyout. And Ballmer could quiet the Microsoft employees and stockholders who were making it known that they hated the original Yahoo deal. At the end of the deal, Microsoft would own Yahoo’s lucrative search and search marketing business, and be a stockholder in the resulting entity. That final version of Yahoo would certainly use Microsoft for at least some of its advertising (Yahoo’s display advertising business may stay with Yahoo).

I suspect a deal will be done quickly - Yahoo’s Yang and supporting board of directors are already being beaten senseless by their own stockholders and they can ill afford another round of incompetence.

Settlement details:This question will be settled as a yes if Yahoo and Microsoft announce a deal whereby either Microsoft acquires Yahoo's search business or some kind of partnership around search. It will settle as a no on no announcement or if Microsoft announces it is acquiring the whole of Yahoo.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
7%
No
93%
Settled as No on Sun 1st Jun 2008 10:42am PST

Suspend date: Sat 31st May 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 1st Jun 2008 10:42am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 31st May 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Tue 20th May 2008 2:07am PST by punditwatch[Admin]
Suspended Sat 31st May 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sun 1st Jun 2008 12:43am PST by orlin: NO
Settled as 'No' Sun 1st Jun 2008 10:42am PST by nigeleccles[Admin]

Suspend date: Sat 31st May 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 1st Jun 2008 10:42am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 31st May 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (73)

1 year ago
thepeoplegeek predicted No (H$240 at 93%)
1 year ago
thepeoplegeek predicted No (H$325 at 93%)
1 year ago
thepeoplegeek predicted No (H$250 at 93%)
1 year ago
gastaoss predicted No (H$100 at 93%)
1 year ago
geo4prez predicted No (H$100 at 93%)

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