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Will Bill Werber live to see his 100th birthday?

Settled as Yes

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/20/sports/baseball/20werber.html?_r=1&adxnnl=1&oref=slogin&ref=sports&adxnnlx=1213977800-k/NDMPzd786aLBHAWdfpEA

Background:

Bill Werber is thought to be the oldest living former Major League Baseball player. He is the oldest living person to have played in a World Series, and is the last living former teammate of Babe Ruth.

Werber's 100th birthday is June 20th. Will he live to see it? For purposes of this question, "living to see" the day would mean being alive for any part of the day.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
98%
No
2%
Activity: H$97,326
Settled as Yes on Fri 20th Jun 9:05am PDT

Suspend date: Thu 19th Jun 10am PDT Settlement date: Fri 20th Jun 9:05am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 19th Jun 10am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 30%

Action history:

Created Tue 20th May 10:26am PDT by mcoen
Suspended Thu 19th Jun 10am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 20th Jun 2:30am PDT by orlin: Yes

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/20/sports/baseball/20werber.html?ref=sports
Settlement requested Fri 20th Jun 6:19am PDT by timmstifter: It's the 20th, He's still alive.

Suspend date: Thu 19th Jun 10am PDT Settlement date: Fri 20th Jun 9:05am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 19th Jun 10am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (78)

78 predictions

22 weeks ago
wellebh predicted No (H$5 at 2%)
22 weeks ago
brjschmidt predicted Yes (H$100 at 96%)
22 weeks ago
shojun predicted Yes (H$3,000 at 96%)
22 weeks ago
bcguelph predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 96%)
22 weeks ago
sgtpepper93 predicted Yes (H$100 at 95%)
more

Comments (1)

  1 bcguelph
Way to stay alive Bill.
posted 21 weeks ago

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