Created Tue 20th May 4:37pm PDT by 
mcoen
All questions » Politics » US Politics » mcoen 
How long will Senator Edward Kennedy live with his cancer?
Current forecast: One year to 18 months (38% chance
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Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is One year to 18 months with a probability of 38% (unchanged in last 1 day)
After suffering a seizure over the weekend, US Senator Edward Kennedy was diagnosed with a malignant brain tumor. Specialists familiar with his type of cancer believe that it is terminal. How long with he be able to hold on?
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
The time period is measured starting May 20 2008, due to the diagnosis becoming public on that date.
Make your prediction!
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Less than one year |
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One year to 18 months |
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Over 18 Months but less than 2 years |
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Two years to three years |
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Over three years |
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Activity: H$12,152
Question suspends in 2 years
Suspend date: Fri 20th May 2011 4:59pm PDT (2 years to go)
Initial likelihoods: Less than one year: 20%, One year to 18 months: 35%, Over 18 Months but less than 2 years: 30%, Two years to three years: 10%, Over three years: 5%
Action history:
Created Tue 20th May 4:37pm PDT by mcoen
mcoen
Clarified Wed 21st May 5am PDT by 
ryanj![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: I've edited the market with a correct end date of May 20 2011 as that is 3 years from the date the market was made.
ryanj: I've edited the market with a correct end date of May 20 2011 as that is 3 years from the date the market was made.
Clarified Thu 22nd May 9:55am PDT by ryanj: Market option text has been edited so that the options do not overlap. The changes do not change what the market was asking. If users do want there previous bets canceled please email me and I will do that.
Regards,
Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
ryanj: Market option text has been edited so that the options do not overlap. The changes do not change what the market was asking. If users do want there previous bets canceled please email me and I will do that.
Regards,
Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
Suspend date: Fri 20th May 2011 4:59pm PDT (2 years to go)
more info...
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47 predictions
noah_reason
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johndeboer
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bigken1Comments (9)
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This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
MarketWatch 22 hours ago
via an ambulatory infusion pump, to adult patients with newly-diagnosed anaplastic astrocytoma (AA), a common type of malignant glioma. The prognosis for patients with AA is usually poor with five-year's survival in less than 30% of patients, even after
score: 10
Globe and Mail 2 days ago
Supported by the same cane he used after surviving a plane crash 44 years ago, Edward Kennedy returned to the U.S. Senate this week for the first time since his party's victory earlier in the month. It was the veteran Democrat's second appearance
score: 10
AFP via Yahoo! 2 days ago
media prior to a welcome lunch outside the Caucus Room at ? WASHINGTON (AFP) ? US liberal icon Edward Kennedy, who is battling brain cancer, was back at work in the Senate on Monday for the first time since July, vowing to fight for healthcare
score: 10
Toronto Star Online 3 days ago
WASHINGTONâ'U.S. Senator Edward Kennedy, battling a life-threatening brain tumour, returned to the Senate yesterday for the first time since July and pledged to work next year to expand health care for all Americans
score: 10
Boston Globe 3 days ago
voice trembled slightly when he spoke. But overall, Kennedy looked remarkably spry for a man battling a malignant glioma, a fast-growing brain tumor that was diagnosed after Kennedy had a seizure in May. His color was strong, and he sported a full head
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He is supposed to be released this morning.
May we wish him well.
Regards,
Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor
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