Net worth: H$1,000

Guest:Cash: 1,000 Predictions: 0

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Created Tue 20th May 2008 3:37pm PST by

Level 14, Prophet (H$127,572)

How long will Senator Edward Kennedy live with his cancer?

Settled as One year to 18 months

May 20 2008 to August 25, 2009 is 15 months and a few days.

Background:

Background: After suffering a seizure over the weekend, US Senator Edward Kennedy was diagnosed with a malignant brain tumor. Specialists familiar with his type of cancer believe that it is terminal. How long with he be able to hold on?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

The time period is measured starting May 20 2008, due to the diagnosis becoming public on that date.

Forecast history %

Less than one year

20%

One year to 18 months

52%

Over 18 Months but less than 2 years

23%

Two years to three years

3%

Over three years

3%

Settled as One year to 18 months on Wed 26th Aug 2009 5:10am PST

Activity: H$40,746
Predictions: 77
Comments: 9

Suspend date: Fri 20th May 2011 3:59pm PST (1 year to go)
Settlement date: Wed 26th Aug 2009 5:10am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 24th Aug 2009 9:40pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Less than one year: 20%, One year to 18 months: 35%, Over 18 Months but less than 2 years: 30%, Two years to three years: 10%, Over three years: 5%

Action history:

Created Tue 20th May 2008 3:37pm PST by

Level 14, Prophet (H$127,572)

Clarified Wed 21st May 2008 4am PST by

Level 13, Psychic (H$62,786)

: I've edited the market with a correct end date of May 20 2011 as that is 3 years from the date the market was made.

Clarified Thu 22nd May 2008 8:55am PST by

Level 13, Psychic (H$62,786)

: Market option text has been edited so that the options do not overlap. The changes do not change what the market was asking. If users do want there previous bets canceled please email me and I will do that.

Regards,

Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor

Suspended Wed 26th Aug 2009 3:25am PST by

jenniandboys [Admin]

[Admin]

Level 18, Megadubber (H$2,111,804)

Settled as 'One year to 18 months' Wed 26th Aug 2009 5:10am PST by

destry [Admin]

[Admin]

Level 18, Megadubber (H$2,173,569)

: May 20 2008 to August 25, 2009 is 15 months and a few days.

hide

Suspend date: Fri 20th May 2011 3:59pm PST (1 year to go)
Settlement date: Wed 26th Aug 2009 5:10am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 24th Aug 2009 9:40pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

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Predictions (77)

29 weeks ago

wahsfrog Level 15, Seer (H$253,107)

Level 15, Seer (H$253,107)

predicted Less than one year (H$1,000 at 65%)

29 weeks ago

wahsfrog Level 15, Seer (H$253,107)

Level 15, Seer (H$253,107)

predicted Less than one year (H$1,000 at 57%)

29 weeks ago

wahsfrog Level 15, Seer (H$253,107)

Level 15, Seer (H$253,107)

predicted Less than one year (H$1,000 at 67%)

29 weeks ago

wahsfrog Level 15, Seer (H$253,107)

Level 15, Seer (H$253,107)

predicted Less than one year (H$1,000 at 60%)

29 weeks ago

wahsfrog Level 15, Seer (H$253,107)

Level 15, Seer (H$253,107)

predicted Less than one year (H$1,000 at 51%)

Comments (9)

1

gingerboi Level 14, Prophet (H$127,092)

Level 14, Prophet (H$127,092)

interesting way to phrase a death question, a kind of tastefully worded double-negative. How close are we to the national bone? Indeed, how long will it take before he drives off the Great Bridge? A nostalgic, final victory lap is surely in the CAT scan.

posted 1 year ago

2

mork

[Power User]

Level 15, Seer (H$314,043)

well put.
He is supposed to be released this morning.
May we wish him well.

posted 1 year ago

3

gingerboi Level 14, Prophet (H$127,092)

Level 14, Prophet (H$127,092)

I just checked and your right.. I have two thousand on him 'walking' out the door... there is no way a Kennedy will leave in a wheelchair. I hope I'm correct.

posted 1 year ago

4

Erik

Level 16, Oracle (H$987,618)

Mary Jo Kopechne could not be reached for comment.

posted 1 year ago

5

gingerboi Level 14, Prophet (H$127,092)

Level 14, Prophet (H$127,092)

Don't worry, there'll be a "burial at sea"

posted 1 year ago

6

Level 13, Psychic (H$62,786)

Market option text has been edited so that the options do not overlap. The changes do not change what the market was asking. If users do want there previous bets canceled please email me and I will do that.

Regards,

Ryan
Hubdub US Politics Content Editor

posted 1 year ago

7

theonecalledmichael Level 15, Seer (H$321,672)

Level 15, Seer (H$321,672)

http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/09/26/kennedy.hospital/index.html

posted 1 year ago

8

dragonfangxl Level 1, Newbie (H$860)

Level 1, Newbie (H$860)

Well i know one thing. He sure as hell aint going to be living without his cancer.

posted 1 year ago

9

Erik

Level 16, Oracle (H$987,618)

nods to dragon....Where's the "until he dies" option?

posted 1 year ago

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