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Will the London teenage anti-Scientology protestor be convicted?

Settled as No

Charges have been dropped

Background:

Background: A British teenager is facing prosecution for calling the Church of Scientology a 'cult'. The 15 year old was served a summons by the City of London police when he took part in a peaceful protest outside Scientology's headquarters in London.

Officers confiscated a placard with the word "cult" on it from the youth, and a case file has been sent to the Crown Prosecution Service. A spokeswoman for the police said:

City of London police had received complaints about demonstrators using the words 'cult' and 'Scientology kills' during protests against the Church of Scientology. Following advice from the Crown Prosecution Service some demonstrators were warned verbally and in writing that their signs breached section five of the Public Order Act. One demonstrator continued to display a placard despite police warnings and was reported for an offence under section five. A file on the case will go to the CPS. (The Guardian)

The teenager has posted for advice on the Enturbulation forums. The best response to date has been:

As it's a criminal charge, the standard of proof is "beyond all reasonable doubt". This means:
a) Police need to prove use of word cult is threatening, abusive or insulting. [...] Such a determination would I think be for a jury to decide, and they would need to take context into account. A considerable part of that context is that Scientology is a cult - just consult a dictionary. It's not the same to call Scientology a cult, as it would be calling say, a traditional religion a cult.

Not allowing context to be considered would result in the ridiculous situation of not being allowed to call a spade a spade. Scientology is a cult. It's not insulting to call it one. It's a statement of fact, and a necessary and well intentioned warning to the easily lead.

b) That such use is intentional.
As I mention, it's up to the prosecution to prove that the use of the term "Cult" is intended to insult. For a criminal conviction, proof needs to be "beyond all reasonable doubt". This is a conclusion so far beyond the boundaries of the available facts, that I am well hopeful you'll get this thrown out of court inside 5 minutes. On the basis of probabilities, you can argue the use was well intended.

[...]Case dismissed, imo. Of course, legal history is full of cases that should have been won, but for bad luck or just bad representation. Make sure to get the best legal defense you can afford. [somnombulist]

Settlement details:Question will be settled as Yes if the teenager is convicted under the Public Order Act relating to events occuring on May 10. If the Crown Prosecution Service announce that the case has been dropped or the teenager is found not-guilty then the question will be settled as a No.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
24%
No
76%
Settled as No on Fri 23rd May 2008 12:05pm PST

Suspend date: Thu 31st Jul 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 23rd May 2008 12:05pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 22nd May 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 25%

Action history:

Created Wed 21st May 2008 6:49am PST by nigeleccles[Admin]
Suspended Fri 23rd May 2008 7:02am PST by mork[Power User]: see settlement request
Settlement requested Fri 23rd May 2008 7:02am PST by mork[Power User]: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/england/london/7416425.stm (market suspended)
Settled as 'No' Fri 23rd May 2008 12:05pm PST by lesley[Admin]: Charges have been dropped

Suspend date: Thu 31st Jul 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 23rd May 2008 12:05pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 22nd May 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (23)

1 year ago
epicur predicted No (H$100 at 76%)
1 year ago
hilly predicted No (H$50 at 76%)
1 year ago
majorgeeky predicted No (H$20 at 76%)
1 year ago
skirvir predicted No (H$200 at 76%)
1 year ago
robuk[Admin] predicted Yes (H$300 at 25%)

Comments (1)

  1 mork[Power User]
Legal action has been dropped against a 15-year-old who faced prosecution for branding Scientology a "cult".

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/england/london/7416425.stm
posted 1 year ago

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