jarrod 
When will Light, Sweet Crude reach $140 per barrel?
http://money.cnn.com/2008/06/26/markets/oil/index.htm?postversion=2008062614
Background:
I stacked the odds heavier towards the end of May since the price of oil has steadily increased this year.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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Between May 21, 2008 and June 5, 2008 |
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Between June 6, 2008 and June 13, 2008 |
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Between June 14, 2008 and June 18, 2008 |
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June 19, 2008 |
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Between June 20, 2008 and July 18, 2008 |
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Between July 19, 2008 and July 23, 2008 |
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July 24, 2008 |
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Some time on or after July 25, 2008 |
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Suspend date: Fri 25th Jul 4:59pm PDT Settlement date: Thu 26th Jun 2:35pm PDT
Initial likelihoods: Between May 21, 2008 and June 5, 2008: 10%, Between June 6, 2008 and June 13, 2008: 20%, Between June 14, 2008 and June 18, 2008: 20%, June 19, 2008: 5%, Between June 20, 2008 and July 18, 2008: 20%, Between July 19, 2008 and July 23, 2008: 10%, July 24, 2008: 5%, Some time on or after July 25, 2008: 10%
Action history:
jarrod jarrod: http://money.cnn.com/2008/06/26/markets/oil/index.htm?postversion=2008062614 
jenniandboys![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: Suspended pending settlement jenniandboys: suspended pending settlement
(market suspended)
robuk: http://money.cnn.com/2008/06/26/markets/oil/index.htm?postversion=2008062614
Suspend date: Fri 25th Jul 4:59pm PDT Settlement date: Thu 26th Jun 2:35pm PDT
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From the article:
Light, sweet crude for August delivery rose $5.45 to $140 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange, having reached an intraday record of $140.05. The previous high of $139.89 was set June 16.
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