Created Wed 21st May 9:59am PDT by

DJIA Poker - Which best poker hand will be available from the May 23 close?

Settled as High Number Only (5 different numbers)

Use the first five numbers from right to left of DJIA's closing value on May 23. (e.g. Of a closing value of 12,828.68, the numbers 82868 would be used.)

Using the 5 available numbers of the closing value of the DJIA on May 23, which best of the available choices in this question will occur?

Please read "Settlement Details".

Forecast history, %

Zoom in

Settled

High Number Only (5 different numbers)

39%

1 Pair

30%

2 Pair

17%

3 of a Kind

Straight (5 consecutive numbers).

Full House. (3 of a Kind and a Pair).

4 of a Kind

5 of a Kind

Activity: H$46,229

Settled as High Number Only (5 different numbers) on Sat 24th May 3:52pm PDT

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Use the first five numbers from right to left of DJIA's closing value.

The best available hand matching one of the choices available will be used to determine the outcome.

Available hand choices, in increasing order of strength are...

High Number Only (5 different numbers)
1 Pair
2 Pair
3 of a Kind
Straight (5 consecutive numbers).
Full House (3 of a Kind and a Pair).
4 of a Kind
5 of a Kind

A zero ("0") will be used in a straight only when used before the number one ("1"). (e.g. 0,1,2,3,4 but NOT 6,7,8,9,0).

Suspend date: Fri 23rd May 1pm PDT

Settlement date: Sat 24th May 3:52pm PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 23rd May 1pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: High Number Only (5 different numbers): 43%, 1 Pair: 35%, 2 Pair: 7%, 3 of a Kind: 5%, Straight (5 consecutive numbers).: 4%, Full House. (3 of a Kind and a Pair).: 3%, 4 of a Kind: 2%, 5 of a Kind: 1%

Action history:

Created Wed 21st May 9:59am PDT by

hubdubbob

Suspended Fri 23rd May 1pm PDT : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Sat 24th May 5:16am PDT by

hubdubbob: The May 23 close of the DJIA was 12,479.63. Should be settled as "High Number Only (5 different numbers)".

http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=^DJI

Settled as 'High Number Only (5 different numbers)' Sat 24th May 3:52pm PDT by