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Will the point difference between two consecutive closes on the Dow be 5 points or less(May)?

Settled as No

http://investdb.theglobeandmail.com/invest/investSQL/gx.price_history?pi_symbol=DJIA-I

Background:

Eg - day 1- close at 12000 day 2- close at 12005 Question can be settled. This question is valid for the remaining part of May.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
4%
No
96%
Activity: H$20,781
Settled as No on Sun 1st Jun 2008 3:43am PDT

Suspend date: Sun 1st Jun 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sun 1st Jun 2008 3:43am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 1st Jun 2008 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 10%

Action history:

Created Wed 21st May 2008 11:50am PDT by junkie_1
Suspended Fri 30th May 2008 1:14pm PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: Suspended pending settlement
Settlement requested Fri 30th May 2008 1:14pm PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: Nope -- althoug close today! (market suspended)
Settlement requested Sat 31st May 2008 6:11am PDT by orlin: No.

http://investdb.theglobeandmail.com/invest/investSQL/gx.price_history?pi_symbol=DJIA-I

Note: 26 May was Memorial holiday and the closing price in the provided table is the repeated Friday closing from 23 May

Suspend date: Sun 1st Jun 2008 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Sun 1st Jun 2008 3:43am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 1st Jun 2008 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (13)

13 predictions

31 weeks ago
kasulked predicted Yes (H$500 at 9%)
31 weeks ago
jenniandboys[Admin] predicted Yes (H$50 at 7%)
31 weeks ago
obliverous predicted Yes (H$100 at 7%)
31 weeks ago
kasulked predicted Yes (H$100 at 7%)
32 weeks ago
rickb41 predicted No (H$20 at 89%)
more

Comments (11)

  1 junkie_1
Oh yes , one more thing , no rounding off. 4.99 is still 4 , not 5.
posted 33 weeks ago
Don't you mean 5 points or less?
posted 33 weeks ago
  3 mrperfkt[Admin]
I hope it was meant to be "less!" I'm pretty certain that there will be more than 5 points difference...in fact, in the next few minutes! hehe
posted 33 weeks ago
  4 junkie_1
My mistake , what I meant was that 5.01 is not 5.
posted 32 weeks ago
  5 junkie_1
Why does user Jenna have a s next to her name?
posted 32 weeks ago
  6 kruijs[Power User]
move your cursor on the s and a hint text will show up (in firefox at least)
posted 32 weeks ago
  7 junkie_1
Whats a superuser
posted 32 weeks ago
  8 kruijs[Power User]
a new hubdub feature:
http://www.hubdub.com/public/noticeboard
http://www.hubdub.com/public/help#superuser
posted 32 weeks ago
  9 hubdubbob
I believe my user id should have a "F" icon beside it, for "Friend of Super User". :)
posted 32 weeks ago
  10 kruijs[Power User]
could be a hypothetical double F, you know :)
posted 32 weeks ago
  11 kruijs[Power User]
oh, triple
posted 32 weeks ago

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