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Will Wikipedia reach 2.6 million articles in English by end August?

Settled as No

Right now it's still only 2,539,017 articles in English

Background:

Current count -
2,381,301
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Main_Page

tomg: question changed to *end* August to clarify this is inclusive (question created before the definition of 'by' was changed to be exclusive, rule not applied retroactively)


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
0%
No
100%
Activity: H$146,337
Settled as No on Mon 1st Sep 2:31am PDT

Suspend date: Mon 1st Sep 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Mon 1st Sep 2:31am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 1st Sep 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 52%

Action history:

Created Wed 21st May 12:05pm PDT by junkie_1
Suspended Wed 6th Aug 1:08pm PDT by mrperfkt[Admin]: Suspended pending settlement
Settlement requested Wed 6th Aug 1:08pm PDT by mrperfkt[Admin]: 2,492,158 as of August 6th
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Main_Page (market suspended)
Unsuspended Thu 7th Aug 2:39am PDT by tomg[Admin]: This question was created before the rule change that says 'by' is exclusive of month, so it remains 'by end August' ('end' added as clarification)
Settlement requested Sun 31st Aug 7:27pm PDT by dieseldog: 2,538,768 articles in English. i don't think it will get to 2.6 in the next few hours. if an admin is bored we can settle as no.
Suspended Mon 1st Sep 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'No' Mon 1st Sep 2:31am PDT by tomg[Admin]: Right now it's still only 2,539,017 articles in English

Suspend date: Mon 1st Sep 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Mon 1st Sep 2:31am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 1st Sep 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (116)

116 predictions

11 weeks ago
xxxjetxxx predicted No (H$273 at 99%)
11 weeks ago
xxxjetxxx predicted No (H$2,500 at 98%)
11 weeks ago
electricplayer predicted No (H$100 at 98%)
12 weeks ago
markieman234 predicted No (H$100 at 98%)
13 weeks ago
krups predicted Yes (H$20 at 2%)
more

Comments (3)

  1 chatarra
2,478,859 articles in English
7-29-2008 20:51 MDT
posted 16 weeks ago
  2 dieseldog
Suspend date: Mon 1st Sep 3:59am EDT (3 weeks to go)
posted 15 weeks ago
  3 pixelpaws
It's only now broken 2.5 million. I don't see how there could be 100,000 new articles in the next 19 days.
posted 14 weeks ago

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