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Will the Arrest of Basque Separatist Leaders Result in a Deadly Terrorist Attack?

Settled as No

French and Spanish Police arrested two leaders of ETA, the Basque separatist group on May 21st. Will anyone die from terrorist attacks related to these arrests in the next month
 
% chance over time
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Settled

Yes
6%
No
94%
Activity: H$39,843
Settled as No on Mon 23rd Jun 12:17pm PDT
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Suspend date: Sun 22nd Jun 12:59am PDT

Settlement date: Mon 23rd Jun 12:17pm PDT

Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 22nd Jun 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Wed 21st May 1:14pm PDT by duckie
Suspended Sun 22nd Jun 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sun 22nd Jun 9:01am PDT by orlin: There were not reports that such an event occured in the given period of time.
Settlement requested Mon 23rd Jun 2:33am PDT by keyeshoveden: No deadly terrorism from ETA.
Settled as 'No' Mon 23rd Jun 12:17pm PDT by lesley[Admin]: Thankfully not.
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all

 

Predictions

8 weeks ago
myunion predicted No (H$20 at 94%)
8 weeks ago
opie predicted No (H$100 at 94%)
8 weeks ago
erichiggs predicted No (H$20 at 90%)
8 weeks ago
keyeshoveden predicted No (H$900 at 90%)
9 weeks ago
kiwifire predicted No (H$100 at 90%)
more

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