Created Wed 21st May 7:50pm PDT by 
lola
All questions » Politics » State » lola 
Will California pass a constitutional amendment banning gay marriage in 2008?
Current forecast: 35% chance 
1%
1%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 35% likely to happen (up 1% in last 1 day)
SAN FRANCISCO - The California Supreme Court ruling legalizing gay marriage will not be the last word.
California voters will almost certainly hold a referendum on a constitutional amendment banning same-sex marriage in November, and for the first time anywhere in the U.S., the vote will have a direct and immediate effect on gay couples waiting to tie the knot. The amendment needs a simple majority to pass, and if the voters reject gay marriage, their decision will supersede the high court’s. There are signs the contest’s outcome will be close. (AP)
California voters will almost certainly hold a referendum on a constitutional amendment banning same-sex marriage in November, and for the first time anywhere in the U.S., the vote will have a direct and immediate effect on gay couples waiting to tie the knot. The amendment needs a simple majority to pass, and if the voters reject gay marriage, their decision will supersede the high court’s. There are signs the contest’s outcome will be close. (AP)
Make your prediction!
|
|
Yes |
|
|||
|
|
No |
|
Activity: H$32,745
Question suspends in 8 weeks
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 11:59pm PST (8 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods:
Yes: 50%
Action history:
Created Wed 21st May 7:50pm PDT by lola
lola
All questions are settled by Hubdub according to settlement info provided by the question creator.
Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.... read all
Get widget!New!Predictions (86)
86 predictions
ratel
kennyk
bout3fitty
owlcreekobserver
swilson![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted No (H$1,000 at 68%)
mraleighComments (1)
New to Hubdub?
Hubdub lets you play at predicting the outcomes of real running news questions
Related News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
Town Hall 2 days ago
SACRAMENTO, Calif. (BP)--A new poll shows a proposed constitutional marriage amendment in California losing, and the results could have been influenced by a new ballot title that amendment supporters say is biased.The poll of 1,047 likely voters by the
Please log in or join to post a comment.